• The Mets are -118 favorites vs the Marlins
• Mets vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mets / Marlins TV Channel: MATV | SNY

The New York Mets (-118) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-102) on May 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Mets are 22-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 22-30 ATS.

Mets vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 0-0, 4.12 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 0-0, 1.21 ERA

Mets vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• player  high – home

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 40 games (+17.20 Units / 38% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+14.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.70 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 18 games (+2.45 Units / 13% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+14.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.45 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 games at home (+1.85 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 18% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 19-31 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -17.84% ROI).

• 22-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.05 Units / -27.16% ROI
• 21-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -13.98% ROI
• 26-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.6 Units / 4.64% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 22-30 against the Run Line (-11.45 Units / -17.19% ROI).

• 23-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.1 Units / -8.13% ROI
• 32-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +12 Units / 20.82% ROI
• 18-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.95 Units / -29.87% ROI

Marlins vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Mets are just 10-19 (.345) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Mets are just 20-27 (.426) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Mets are just 14-4 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .862.

The Mets are just 1-95 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Marlins were just 7-42 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

The Marlins were just 62-100 (.383) in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins were just 60-86 (.411) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .595 (1,144 PA’s) with bases empty this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .645 (1,406 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .645 (1,938 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .284 (1,040 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

Marlins hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have 18 extra-base hits out of 72 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters are slugging just .430 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Marlins are batting just .201 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have 92 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.25 (176.2 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed 59 stolen bases this season — most in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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