• The Mets are +105 favorites vs the Marlins
• Mets vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mets / Marlins TV Channel: MATV | SNY

The New York Mets (+105) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-125) on September 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40 pm in Miami, FL.

This season, the Mets are against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are ATS.

Mets vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Robert Stock 1-3, 5.74 ERA
• Marlins starting pitcher: Janson Junk 6-9, 4.02 ERA

Mets vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bo Bichette has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+15.20 Units / 169% ROI)
• Jared Young has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+13.95 Units / 93% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.85 Units / 26% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.95 Units / 51% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.35 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Javier Sanoja has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+16.00 Units / 229% ROI)
• Javier Sanoja has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.55 Units / 37% ROI)
• Heriberto Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
• Jakob Marsee has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 34% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 away games (+9.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 away games (+8.55 Units / 45% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 19 away games (+8.35 Units / 41% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+6.80 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 away games (+5.95 Units / 24% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+11.10 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games at home (+9.70 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.90 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Mets are just 52-33 (.612) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 18-1 (.947) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 7-60 (.104) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 45-6 (.882) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Marlins are 36-8 (.818) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Marlins are 31-10 (.756) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins were just 39-14 (.736) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins were just 60-86 (.411) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .538.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mets are batting just .232 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .488 (2,884 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .303 (1,562 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have 40 extra-base hits out of 142 total hits (just 28%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends

The Marlins are batting just .198 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have put 39% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Marlins hitters have a groundball batting average of .296 with runners on base this season — best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 68% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.4 MPH this season (3,285 balls in play) — tied for 5th best in MLB

Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends

Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 3.47 (671.2 IP) at home this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Marlins have won just 28% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Marlins pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.2 MPH (3,293 batted balls) this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB.

The Marlins have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

Bet now on Mets vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM

Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.