- The Mets are -170 favorites vs the Nationals
- Mets vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Mets / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | SNY
The New York Mets (-175) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+145) on Friday, April 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Mets are 18-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 12-13 ATS.
Mets vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 3-1, 0.79 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 2-0, 3.77 ERA
Mets vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 -115 | O 9 +100 | -175 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -105 | U 9 -120 | +145 |
Mets vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 away games (+15.70 Units / 174% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.95 Units / 123% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 50% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- James Wood has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+14.90 Units / 248% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+13.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.10 Units / 88% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+9.40 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+8.35 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+7.75 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 67% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 14-11 against the Run Line (+3.6 Units / 11.09% ROI).
- 18-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.1 Units / 24.11% ROI
- 8-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.95 Units / -39.46% ROI
- 17-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.2 Units / 30.09% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 12-13 against the Run Line (-2.5 Units / -7.99% ROI).
- 11-14 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -6.21% ROI
- 12-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -7.65% ROI
- 13-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.18% ROI
Nationals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Nationals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Francisco Alvarez (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Nationals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Nationals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kodai Senga (NYM) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kodai Senga allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (54 Total Bases / 324 ABs) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .111 (36-for-324) against Kodai Senga with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 97th Percentile.
Kodai Senga had a strike rate of just 59% (507/863) in two strike counts in 2023 — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.
Kodai Senga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .227 (47 Total Bases / 207 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .368 — 99th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
6 of Jake Irvin’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (110/311) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (102/250) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 20% (160/793) against Jake Irvin since last season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — fourth Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Mets are 8-66 (.108) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 13-59 (.181) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Mets are 33-24 (.579) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Nationals (25th best runs scored) today.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Nationals are just 153-196 (.438) since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 79-95 (.454) at home since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
The Nationals are just 25-47 (.347) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have a winning percentage of 92% at home since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 61%.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .182 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .149 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters put 41% of their swings in play against LHP in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .651 (2,084 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Nationals hitters had an OBP of just .285 (819 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Nationals hitters averaged just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have won 71% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 2.34 (223.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Mets pitchers have won 71% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers in 2023 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers allowed an OBP of .372 (1,428 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Mets vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
