- The Mets (65-37) are -350 favorites vs the Nationals (35-69)
- Mets starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom (-), – ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Cory Abbott (0-0), 2.25 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Mets (-350) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+275) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-120).
The Mets vs Nationals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 65-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 44-60 ATS.
Mets vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -2.5 -120 | O 8 -110 | -350 |
| Nationals | +2.5 +100 | U 8 -110 | +275 |
Mets vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 52 away games (+16.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+11.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 41 away games (+10.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- Taijuan Walker has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 69% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+16.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)
Nationals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Maikel Franco | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nelson Cruz | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Nationals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +105 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Maikel Franco | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
| Nelson Cruz | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
Nationals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Maikel Franco | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Nelson Cruz | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jacob deGrom | 6.5 -150 | 6.5 +105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 102 games (+18.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 102 games (+11.37 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 102 games (+9.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games (+8.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 68 games (+6.35 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 91 games (+17.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+7.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 29% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 55-47 against the Run Line (+9.15 Units / 7.46% ROI).
- 65-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.7 Units / 12.73% ROI
- 52-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 3.1% ROI
- 44-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.75 Units / -11.41% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 44-60 against the Run Line (-24.8 Units / -19.28% ROI).
- 35-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.75 Units / -19.16% ROI
- 51-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.51% ROI
- 48-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -6.55% ROI
Jacob deGrom: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jacob deGrom had a strikeout rate of 45% (146/324) last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom allowed an OBP of just .160 (324 PA’s) last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .129 (40-for-310) against Jacob deGrom last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.
Jacob deGrom has thrown 314 fastballs at 100+ MPH since the start of last season — 4th most among pitchers in MLB — 97th Percentile.
Cory Abbott: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cory Abbott has limited playing time.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Mets are 29-4 (.879) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Mets are 31-17 (.646) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Mets are 25-12 (.676) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are 28-7 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Nationals are just 16-39 (.291) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Nationals are just 104-16 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.
The Nationals are just 11-64 (.147) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Nationals are just 35-61 (.365) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have a winning percentage of 63% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mets hitters have just 522 strikeouts in 2,650 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .949 (242 PA’s) over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Mets are batting .257 this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 29% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 258 double plays in 1,950 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Nationals hitters have just 749 strikeouts in 3,871 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have put 39% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.66 (415.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .308 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Nationals pitchers have walked 374 of 4,047 batters (9%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Erick Fedde (Nationals): Right Shoulder, D15
- Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Dominic Smith (Mets): Ankle, D10
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- James McCann (Mets): Oblique, D10
- Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
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