Mets vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 2

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 02, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Mets (65-37) are -350 favorites vs the Nationals (35-69)
  • Mets starting pitcher: Jacob deGrom (-), ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Cory Abbott (0-0), 2.25 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Mets (-350) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+275) on Tuesday, August 2, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-120).

The Mets vs Nationals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 65-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 44-60 ATS.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-2.5 -120O 8 -110-350
Nationals +2.5 +100U 8 -110+275

Mets vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 52 away games (+16.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+11.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 41 away games (+10.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Taijuan Walker has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 69% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+16.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+10.60 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+10.30 Units / 30% ROI)

Nationals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Luis Garcia 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Maikel Franco 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Nelson Cruz 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Nationals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 -150 0.5 +105
Luis Garcia 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Maikel Franco 0.5 -130 0.5 -110
Nelson Cruz 0.5 -165 0.5 +115

Nationals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +250 0.5 -400
Luis Garcia 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Maikel Franco 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Nelson Cruz 0.5 +190 0.5 -275

Nationals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jacob deGrom 6.5 -150 6.5 +105
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 102 games (+18.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 102 games (+11.37 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 102 games (+9.15 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 64 games (+8.45 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 37 of their last 68 games (+6.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 91 games (+17.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+7.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+3.20 Units / 29% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 55-47 against the Run Line (+9.15 Units / 7.46% ROI).

  • 65-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +18.7 Units / 12.73% ROI
  • 52-44 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.5 Units / 3.1% ROI
  • 44-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.75 Units / -11.41% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 44-60 against the Run Line (-24.8 Units / -19.28% ROI).

  • 35-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.75 Units / -19.16% ROI
  • 51-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.51% ROI
  • 48-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -6.55% ROI

Jacob deGrom had a strikeout rate of 45% (146/324) last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom allowed an OBP of just .160 (324 PA’s) last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .129 (40-for-310) against Jacob deGrom last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 100th Percentile.

Jacob deGrom has thrown 314 fastballs at 100+ MPH since the start of last season — 4th most among pitchers in MLB — 97th Percentile.

Cory Abbott: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Cory Abbott has limited playing time.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Mets are 29-4 (.879) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Mets are 31-17 (.646) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Mets are 25-12 (.676) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are 28-7 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .663.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Nationals are just 16-39 (.291) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Nationals are just 104-16 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .913.

The Nationals are just 11-64 (.147) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Nationals are just 35-61 (.365) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Mets have a winning percentage of 63% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Mets hitters have just 522 strikeouts in 2,650 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .949 (242 PA’s) over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.

The Mets are batting .257 this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 29% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 258 double plays in 1,950 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Nationals hitters have just 749 strikeouts in 3,871 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Nationals hitters have put 39% of their swings in play with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.66 (415.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .308 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Nationals pitchers have walked 374 of 4,047 batters (9%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Nationals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Erick Fedde (Nationals): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Dominic Smith (Mets): Ankle, D10
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • James McCann (Mets): Oblique, D10
  • Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.