Mets vs Nationals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 03, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Mets (65-38) are -275 favorites vs the Nationals (36-69)
  • Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (7-7), 3.83 ERA
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Aníbal Sánchez (0-3), 7.46 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Mets (-275) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+220) on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).

The Mets vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 65-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 45-60 ATS.

Mets vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-2.5 -105O 9 -105-275
Nationals +2.5 -115U 9 -115+220

Mets vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 58.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Nationals vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 53 away games (+14.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+9.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Taijuan Walker has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 69% ROI)

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+16.75 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.15 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 35 games (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)

Nationals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Lane Thomas 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Luis Garcia 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200

Nationals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 -190 0.5 +130
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Lane Thomas 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Luis Garcia 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Nationals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cesar Hernandez 0.5 +230 0.5 -350
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Lane Thomas 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
Luis Garcia 0.5 +185 0.5 -275

Nationals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anibal Sanchez 3.5 +105 3.5 -150
Chris Bassitt 5.5 +110 5.5 -160
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 103 games (+15.10 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 103 games (+9.32 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 65 games (+7.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 103 games (+7.15 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 92 games (+16.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+6.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.90 Units / 13% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 55-48 against the Run Line (+7.15 Units / 5.74% ROI).

  • 65-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.1 Units / 10.04% ROI
  • 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 2.06% ROI
  • 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.75 Units / -10.42% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 45-60 against the Run Line (-23.1 Units / -17.82% ROI).

  • 36-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.75 Units / -16.24% ROI
  • 51-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.49% ROI
  • 49-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -5.62% ROI

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (52/316) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (30/186) against Chris Bassitt this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 52% (96/186) against Chris Bassitt this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 89th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (23/160) against Chris Bassitt on fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Aníbal Sánchez: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Anibal Sanchez has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to September 26th, 2020 — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 6.

Anibal Sanchez has a strike rate of just 60% (120/201) — 7th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.

Anibal Sanchez has an ERA of 7.59 (10.2 IP) — 12th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 4.05 — 10th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (5/21) against Anibal Sanchez vs left-handed batters — tied for 10th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 36% — 88th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Mets are 29-4 (.879) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Mets are 34-21 (.618) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Mets are 28-7 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Mets are 55-3 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Nationals are just 17-39 (.304) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

The Nationals are just 105-16 (.868) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Nationals are just 11-64 (.147) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.

The Nationals are just 26-5 (.839) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.

The Mets have a winning percentage of 62% on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

The Mets have scored first in 69% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .264 (2,086 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Mets hitters have just 527 strikeouts in 2,685 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Nationals hitters have just 231 strikeouts in 1,246 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 258 double plays in 1,953 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .340 (3,093 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .286 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Nationals have won just 18% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.

Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Nationals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Erick Fedde (Nationals): Right Shoulder, D15
  • MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Dominic Smith (Mets): Ankle, D10
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • James McCann (Mets): Oblique, D10
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.