- The Mets (65-38) are -275 favorites vs the Nationals (36-69)
- Mets starting pitcher: Christopher Bassitt (7-7), 3.83 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Aníbal Sánchez (0-3), 7.46 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Mets (-275) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+220) on Wednesday, August 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (-105).
The Mets vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 65-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 45-60 ATS.
Mets vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -2.5 -105 | O 9 -105 | -275 |
| Nationals | +2.5 -115 | U 9 -115 | +220 |
Mets vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 58.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 53 away games (+14.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+9.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- Taijuan Walker has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 69% ROI)
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+16.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.15 Units / 45% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+13.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 35 games (+11.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
Nationals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Nationals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +130 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Nationals vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cesar Hernandez | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ildemaro Vargas | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Lane Thomas | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Luis Garcia | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Nationals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anibal Sanchez | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -150 |
| Chris Bassitt | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 65 of their last 103 games (+15.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 58 of their last 103 games (+9.32 Units / 8% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 65 games (+7.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 103 games (+7.15 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 54 of their last 92 games (+16.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games (+6.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+6.20 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 55-48 against the Run Line (+7.15 Units / 5.74% ROI).
- 65-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.1 Units / 10.04% ROI
- 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 2.06% ROI
- 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.75 Units / -10.42% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 45-60 against the Run Line (-23.1 Units / -17.82% ROI).
- 36-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.75 Units / -16.24% ROI
- 51-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.9 Units / -2.49% ROI
- 49-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -5.62% ROI
Christopher Bassitt: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (52/316) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 16% (30/186) against Chris Bassitt this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 52% (96/186) against Chris Bassitt this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 89th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 14% (23/160) against Chris Bassitt on fastballs this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Aníbal Sánchez: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anibal Sanchez has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to September 26th, 2020 — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 6.
Anibal Sanchez has a strike rate of just 60% (120/201) — 7th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — fifth Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez has an ERA of 7.59 (10.2 IP) — 12th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 4.05 — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (5/21) against Anibal Sanchez vs left-handed batters — tied for 10th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 36% — 88th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Mets are 29-4 (.879) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Mets are 34-21 (.618) on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .477.
The Mets are 28-7 (.800) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Mets are 55-3 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .913.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Nationals are just 17-39 (.304) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Nationals are just 105-16 (.868) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Nationals are just 11-64 (.147) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
The Nationals are just 26-5 (.839) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .886.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have a winning percentage of 62% on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Mets have scored first in 69% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .264 (2,086 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Mets hitters have just 527 strikeouts in 2,685 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters have just 231 strikeouts in 1,246 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 258 double plays in 1,953 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of .340 (3,093 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 31% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .286 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Nationals have won just 18% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Nationals vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Erick Fedde (Nationals): Right Shoulder, D15
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Dominic Smith (Mets): Ankle, D10
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Andrew Smith (Mets): Back, D15
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- James McCann (Mets): Oblique, D10
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
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