• The Mets are -145 favorites vs the Nationals
• Mets vs Nationals Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
• Mets / Nationals TV Channel: SNY | NATV

The New York Mets (-145) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+118) on May 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45 pm in Washington, DC.

This season, the Mets are 20-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 28-18 ATS.

Mets vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Christian Scott 0-0, 3.45 ERA
• Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 1-4, 5.91 ERA

Mets vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
• Mark Vientos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+9.90 Units / 99% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 38% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.10 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jacob Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+29.00 Units / 322% ROI)
• Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+12.12 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jake Irvin has hit the Earned Runs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 35% ROI)
• Keibert Ruiz has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.40 Units / 38% ROI)
• James Wood has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+9.95 Units / 42% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 35 games (+16.45 Units / 41% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 42% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+5.20 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.40 Units / 27% ROI)

Nationals Best Bets Today:

• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.25 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+13.80 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.30 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 35 games (+9.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 18-27 against the Run Line (-7.35 Units / -14.24% ROI).

• 20-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.35 Units / -27.07% ROI
• 18-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -17.11% ROI
• 24-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.8 Units / 7.5% ROI

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 28-18 against the Run Line (+4.75 Units / 7.27% ROI).

• 23-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.25 Units / 15.2% ROI
• 29-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.8 Units / 24.78% ROI
• 15-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.8 Units / -32.43% ROI

Nationals vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Nationals vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Mets are just 12-4 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The Mets are 12-1 (.923) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Mets are just 19-23 (.452) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Mets are 7-1 (.875) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Nationals are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Nationals are just 8-14 (.364) at home this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Nationals are just 16-5 (.762) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The Nationals are 18-3 (.857) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

The Mets are batting just .189 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .272 (996 PA’s) with bases empty this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .224 (860 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .548 (387 PA’s) on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends

The Nationals are batting just .185 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .435 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters are slugging .291 with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .555 (965 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Avg of 45% against the Nationals pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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