- The Mets (37-19) are -105 favorites vs the Padres (33-21)
- Mets starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco (6-1), 3.63 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (0-2), 4.80 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The New York Mets (-105) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-115) on Monday, June 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.
The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Mets vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Mets are 37-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 30-24 ATS.
Mets vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 -115 | -105 |
| Padres | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -105 | -115 |
Mets vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s matchup with 63.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+6.25 Units / 72% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
- Eric Hosmer has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+8.15 Units / 17% ROI)
- Eric Hosmer has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+8.00 Units / 19% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The New York Mets have hit the Run Line in 34 of their last 56 games (+15.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 56 games (+13.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1H Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+9.52 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1H Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 21% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Padres: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1H Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+12.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+10.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Run Line in 30 of their last 53 games (+5.60 Units / 8% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 34-22 against the Run Line (+15.2 Units / 23.3% ROI).
- 37-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.45 Units / 16.77% ROI
- 28-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 2.07% ROI
- 24-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -10.07% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 30-24 against the Run Line (+4.6 Units / 6.41% ROI).
- 33-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.85 Units / 12.39% ROI
- 23-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -13.63% ROI
- 29-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 6.46% ROI
Carlos Carrasco: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has walked 65 of 477 right-handed batters (14%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 33 of 215 batters (15%) versus the heart of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (54 Total Bases / 324 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .271 — 98th Percentile.
Blake Snell has walked 24 of 154 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Yankees are 23-7 (.767) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.
The Yankees are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Yankees are 16-8 (.667) on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Yankees are 25-1 (.962) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Padres are 4-14 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Padres are 20-11 (.645) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Padres are just 27-4 (.871) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.
The Padres are 27-7 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters are slugging .607 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .440.
Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Yankees hitters have drawn 82 walks in 740 PA’s (11%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.111 (100 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters are slugging just .357 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.
Padres hitters are slugging just .340 against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
Padres hitters have an OPS of just .645 (839 PA’s) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Yankees pitchers have walked 28 of 487 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9
Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Yankees pitchers have walked 130 of 1,954 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.
The Padres have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .139 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Padres have won 55% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
- Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
- Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
- Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Adrian Morejon (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
- Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D10
- Michel Baez (Padres): Elbow, D60
- Tylor Megill (Mets): Lat, D15
- John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Travis Jankowski (Mets): Hand, D10
- Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
- James McCann (Mets): Hamate, D10
- Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Oblique, D15
- Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
- Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60
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