Mets vs Padres Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 06, 2022, 10:29 AM
  • The Mets (37-19) are -105 favorites vs the Padres (33-21)
  • Mets starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco (6-1), 3.63 ERA
  • Padres starting pitcher: Blake Snell (0-2), 4.80 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The New York Mets (-105) visit PETCO Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-115) on Monday, June 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Mets vs Padres Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 37-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 30-24 ATS.

Mets vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-1.5 +155O 7.5 -115-105
Padres +1.5 -190U 7.5 -105-115

Mets vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s matchup with 63.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Padres and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Padres vs Mets and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 6 away games (+6.25 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+9.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Eric Hosmer has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+8.45 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.15 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+8.15 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Eric Hosmer has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+8.00 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Run Line in 34 of their last 56 games (+15.20 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 56 games (+13.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1H Run Line in 33 of their last 56 games (+9.52 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1H Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+6.30 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the 1H Total Under in 20 of their last 29 games (+12.35 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+10.40 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 53 games (+10.25 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+9.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The San Diego Padres have hit the Run Line in 30 of their last 53 games (+5.60 Units / 8% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 34-22 against the Run Line (+15.2 Units / 23.3% ROI).

  • 37-19 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.45 Units / 16.77% ROI
  • 28-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.3 Units / 2.07% ROI
  • 24-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.1 Units / -10.07% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 30-24 against the Run Line (+4.6 Units / 6.41% ROI).

  • 33-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.85 Units / 12.39% ROI
  • 23-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -8 Units / -13.63% ROI
  • 29-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 6.46% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Blake Snell: Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Blake Snell has walked 65 of 477 right-handed batters (14%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 33 of 215 batters (15%) versus the heart of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.

Blake Snell has allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (54 Total Bases / 324 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: .271 — 98th Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 24 of 154 batters (16%) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 105 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

The Yankees are 23-7 (.767) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .514.

The Yankees are 2-9 (.182) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Yankees are 16-8 (.667) on the road this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Yankees are 25-1 (.962) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Padres are 4-14 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.

The Padres are 20-11 (.645) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Padres are just 27-4 (.871) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .925.

The Padres are 27-7 (.794) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Yankees hitters are slugging .607 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .440.

Yankees hitters are averaging 4.06 pitches per plate appearance since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Yankees hitters have drawn 82 walks in 740 PA’s (11%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have an OPS of 1.111 (100 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.

Padres hitters are slugging just .357 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .388.

Padres hitters are slugging just .340 against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.

Padres hitters have an OPS of just .645 (839 PA’s) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .710.

Padres hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 28 of 487 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The average home run distance against the Yankees pitchers since the start of last season is 391.2 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.9

Yankees pitchers have won 67% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers have walked 130 of 1,954 batters (7%) this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .182 against Padres pitchers with the shift since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .222.

The Padres have won 50% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .139 against Padres pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.

The Padres have won 55% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Padres vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • William Myers (Padres): Knee, D10
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (Padres): Wrist, D60
  • Thomas Pomeranz (Padres): Undisclosed, D60
  • Pierce Johnson (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Adrian Morejon (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Adams (Padres): Forearm, D60
  • Matthew Beaty (Padres): Shoulder, D10
  • Michel Baez (Padres): Elbow, D60
  • Tylor Megill (Mets): Lat, D15
  • John Curtiss (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob deGrom (Mets): Shoulder, D60
  • Travis Jankowski (Mets): Hand, D10
  • Joseph Lucchesi (Mets): Elbow, D60
  • James McCann (Mets): Hamate, D10
  • Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Oblique, D15
  • Trevor May (Mets): Triceps, D60
  • Sean Reid-Foley (Mets): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.