• The Phillies are -170 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mets / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | SNY

The New York Mets (+140) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-170) on July 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Mets are against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are ATS.

Mets vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 2-4, 4.56 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 8-4, 3.51 ERA

Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+22.80 Units / 228% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 28% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.85 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.70 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+23.40 Units / 468% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.55 Units / 42% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.90 Units / 58% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.15 Units / 41% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 50 away games (+20.70 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 away games (+19.15 Units / 32% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 away games (+7.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 25% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games (+10.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.25 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+5.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.90 Units / 46% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

• home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
• home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
• home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Phillies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Mets are just 36-49 (.424) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

The Mets are just 21-36 (.368) after a loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .482.

The Mets are 10-1 (.909) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Mets are just 29-7 (.806) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .864.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Phillies are 5-41 (.109) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .054.

The Phillies are 39-1 (.975) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .864.

The Phillies are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Phillies are 36-4 (.900) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .644 (1,145 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .613 (1,197 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .685 (2,651 PA’s) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have 26 extra-base hits out of 102 total hits (just 26%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .223 (1,999 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are just 16-38 (.296) against the run line (-42.5% ROI) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .302 (2,515 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .646 (1,916 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 26% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 5th best in MLB.

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .290 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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