• The Phillies are -210 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Mets / Phillies TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

The New York Mets (+170) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-210) on June 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 pm in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Mets are 34-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 28-47 ATS.

Mets vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 3-5, 5.94 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 6-1, 2.01 ERA

Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+16.50 Units / 165% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.35 Units / 32% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.30 Units / 50% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games at home (+21.00 Units / 262% ROI)
• Bryce Harper has hit the Walks Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+15.05 Units / 59% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.30 Units / 51% ROI)
• Brandon Marsh has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+10.30 Units / 34% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 away games (+16.70 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 45 away games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games (+4.55 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 21 games (+3.10 Units / 13% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games (+12.30 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+6.85 Units / 67% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 31-44 against the Run Line (-11.15 Units / -12.55% ROI).

• 34-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.5 Units / -21.6% ROI
• 34-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -5.9% ROI
• 35-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.8 Units / -3.36% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 28-47 against the Run Line (-21.8 Units / -24.74% ROI).

• 41-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -2.99% ROI
• 33-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -12.94% ROI
• 40-33 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.1 Units / 4.92% ROI

Phillies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

The Mets are just 10-40 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.

The Mets are just 16-25 (.390) after a loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Mets are 17-6 (.739) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .645.

The Mets are just 30-38 (.441) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Phillies are just 3-15 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .355.

The Phillies are 8-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Phillies are 21-3 (.875) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .752.

The Phillies are 18-7 (.720) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Mets (24th in runs scored).

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .591 (864 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 67 runs in late innings this season — fewest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .228 (1,474 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .298 (2,826 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends

Phillies hitters have an OPS of just .624 (872 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Phillies are batting just .209 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .274 (1,305 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .220 (1,531 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .284 (680 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Mets pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 39 double plays in 528 opportunities (7%) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers this season traveled 494.7 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends

Phillies pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.5 MPH this season (1,885 balls in play) — best in MLB

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .288 against Phillies pitchers this season — highest in MLB.

Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (1,885 batted balls) this season — best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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