- The Mets are -125 favorites vs the Phillies
- Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sánchez
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The New York Mets (-125) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+105) on Saturday, June 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Mets vs Phillies Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are ATS.
Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +125 | O 9.5 -120 | -125 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -155 | U 9.5 +100 | +105 |
Mets vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 62.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 44% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Francisco Alvarez has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 away games (+10.90 Units / 81% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+10.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.15 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+13.40 Units / 103% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 29 games (+12.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 48 games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Josh Harrison has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.65 Units / 29% ROI)
Phillies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
Phillies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Starling Marte | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Phillies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Phillies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Cristopher Sanchez | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 64 games (+4.05 Units / 6% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 57 games (+12.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 31 games at home (+10.35 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 28 games at home (+8.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.50 Units / 35% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).
- home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
- home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
- home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a swing rate of 51% (353/696) against Max Scherzer in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 44% (116/265) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 29 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Max Scherzer has walked 2 of 128 batters (2%) over the last 30 days (5 games) — best among in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of 55% (932/1,699) against Max Scherzer since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 94 total IP; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cristopher Sanchez has not allowed a home run in any of the last 21.2 innings he’s appeared — Jack Flaherty has the longest active streak at 43.2.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Mets are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
The Mets are just 10-13 (.435) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.
The Mets are just 23-14 (.622) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .787.
The Mets are 119-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Phillies are 20-87 (.187) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .127.
The Phillies are 8-4 (.667) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
The Phillies are 17-5 (.773) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .608.
The Phillies are 12-8 (.600) after a road win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have just 1,260 strikeouts in 6,287 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .332 (6,287 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Mets hitters have just 416 strikeouts in 1,993 PA’s (21%) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .329 (9,036 PA’s) since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies hitters have drawn 53 walks in 897 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies hitters are slugging .502 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .445.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .295 (897 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets pitchers have walked 60 of 652 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 26 of 225 batters (12%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 142 of 2,092 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 31 double plays in 487 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Phillies have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies pitchers have an ERA of 3.29 (301.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Phillies vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Seranthony DomÃnguez (Phillies): Oblique, D15
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D60
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Joshua Walker (Mets): Leg, Day-to-Day
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Jeff McNeil (Mets): Wrist, Day-to-Day
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
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