Mets vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 19

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Texas Rangers' Corey Seager hits a two-run home run against the Arizona Diamondbacks during the second inning in Game 4 of the baseball World Series Tuesday, Oct. 31, 2023, in Phoenix.
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 19, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Mets are -110 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Mets vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Mets / Rangers TV Channel: SNY | BSSW

The New York Mets (-110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-110) on Wednesday, June 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Mets are 35-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 32-41 ATS.

Mets vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 4-3, 4.16 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 2-8, 4.19 ERA

Mets vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets-1.5 +150O 8.5 -105-110
Rangers +1.5 -185U 8.5 -115-110

Mets vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+16.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Luis Torrens has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.10 Units / 262% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.60 Units / 61% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 27% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 38 games (+21.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+18.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.80 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.25 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 28 away games (+13.30 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 28 away games (+12.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 away games (+7.50 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 69 games (+15.95 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games at home (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+7.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.00 Units / 11% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 34-38 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -6.98% ROI).

  • 35-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.85 Units / -4.69% ROI
  • 36-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 0.9% ROI
  • 32-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.75 Units / -8.89% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 32-41 against the Run Line (-14.7 Units / -15.53% ROI).

  • 33-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.85 Units / -15.05% ROI
  • 27-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.4 Units / -25.26% ROI
  • 43-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.7 Units / 17.16% ROI

Rangers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +300 0.5 -400
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +320 0.5 -400
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450

Rangers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Jose Iglesias (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Starling Marte (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Rangers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Rangers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Heaney (TEX) 4.5 -160 4.5 +125
Sean Manaea (NYM) 5.5 +125 5.5 -160

Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of .880 (22 Total Bases / 25 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — tied for highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .407 — third Percentile.

Sean Manaea has allowed an OPS of 1.287 (27 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .723 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (36/102) against Sean Manaea on fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.

Sean Manaea has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to May 19th — Pablo Lopez has the longest active streak at 7.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Andrew Heaney has walked 3 of 118 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (176 balls in play) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 80.6

Opponents are hitting just .173 (31-for-179) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 99th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 57% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (300/524) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mets are just 22-10 (.688) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.

The Mets are just 27-6 (.818) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .940.

The Mets are just 18-9 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .848.

The Mets are 5-28 (.152) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .060.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Rangers are just 10-18 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are just 9-160 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Rangers are 15-1 (.938) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .757.

The Rangers are just 2-27 (.069) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .787 (1,255 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .694.

The Mets are batting .279 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

The Mets are batting .336 on the road this month (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Mets hitters have an OBP of .267 (1,474 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Rangers are batting just .258 in hitter’s counts this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .860 (495 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.044.

14% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (389/2,729 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .759 (6,593 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.

Mets pitchers have walked 63 of 650 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have walked 868 of 8,852 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets pitchers have walked 1 of 99 batters (1%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Mets pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 47 of 458 batters (10%) over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.