• The Rangers are -145 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
• Mets / Rangers TV Channel: RASN | SNY

The New York Mets (+118) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-145) on September 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05 pm in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Mets are 71-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 72-80 ATS.

Mets vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 5-7, 4.75 ERA
• Rangers starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 8-11, 4.67 ERA

Mets vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Carson Benge has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+13.90 Units / 154% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+12.00 Units / 60% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.85 Units / 51% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+10.50 Units / 38% ROI)
• Carson Benge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+10.05 Units / 46% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Wyatt Langford has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+15.45 Units / 62% ROI)
• Josh Jung has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+14.50 Units / 362% ROI)
• Josh Jung has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+12.00 Units / 47% ROI)
• Josh Jung has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+10.60 Units / 71% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 30 away games (+8.95 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 23 away games (+8.70 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 23 away games (+5.45 Units / 19% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+12.60 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games at home (+6.80 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 70-84 against the Run Line (-18.25 Units / -9.34% ROI).

• 71-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.45 Units / -14.84% ROI
• 72-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -4.13% ROI
• 71-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -4.88% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 72-80 against the Run Line (-15.75 Units / -7.73% ROI).

• 78-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.4 Units / -5.01% ROI
• 80-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.8 Units / 3.95% ROI
• 67-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.2 Units / -11.8% ROI

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Mets are just 55-36 (.604) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 19-1 (.950) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 6-12 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 49-7 (.875) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Rangers are just 2-69 (.028) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are just 9-43 (.173) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are just 14-39 (.264) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Rangers are 36-10 (.783) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have 42 extra-base hits out of 152 total hits (just 28%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .491 (3,104 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are batting just .234 at home this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are batting .251 on changeups this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends

Rangers hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of .767 (1,714 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.

The Rangers are batting .263 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Rangers have won 94% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 67% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

The Mets have won just 10% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets pitchers have 262 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 3rd most in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Mets pitchers this season traveled 494.7 feet — — 4th longest in MLB

Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends

Rangers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after their offense scores this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Rangers have won just 31% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 4.93 (662.2 IP) on the road this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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