• The Reds are -145 favorites vs the Mets
• Mets vs Reds Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
• Mets / Reds TV Channel: WXIX | RDTV | SNY

The New York Mets (+118) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-145) on June 15, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Mets are 32-39 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 38-31 ATS.

Mets vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 0-1, 4.05 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Chase Burns 7-1, 2.14 ERA

Mets vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Reds and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 away games (+19.40 Units / 323% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+12.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Walks Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.55 Units / 32% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Noelvi Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+17.30 Units / 173% ROI)
• Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 20 games at home (+17.05 Units / 48% ROI)
• Sal Stewart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+15.75 Units / 55% ROI)
• Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.80 Units / 42% ROI)
• Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 39% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 50 away games (+16.30 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+13.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.25 Units / 24% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 45 games at home (+10.80 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+6.50 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 59% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 30 games (+2.20 Units / 6% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 29-41 against the Run Line (-9.15 Units / -11.12% ROI).

• 32-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.4 Units / -21.7% ROI
• 31-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.85 Units / -8.74% ROI
• 34-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.71% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 38-31 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -2.5% ROI).

• 33-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -6.51% ROI
• 42-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.15 Units / 15.67% ROI
• 27-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.8 Units / -24.59% ROI

Reds vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

The Mets are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .780.

The Mets are just 28-36 (.438) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Mets are 22-2 (.917) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Mets are just 1-102 (.010) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.

Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Reds are 4-31 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .055.

The Reds are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Reds are just 5-32 (.135) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Reds are 28-5 (.848) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .582 (799 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .222 (1,359 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .284 (1,298 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Mets have scored 60 runs in innings 7-9 this season — fewest in MLB.

Reds Hitting Stats & Trends

The Reds are batting just .212 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

Reds hitters are slugging just .455 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Mets pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

The Mets have allowed 3.80 runs per game (133/35) on the road this season — 4th best in MLB.

Reds Pitching Stats & Trends

Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have an ERA of 6.49 (130.1 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB.

Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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