- The Mets are -135 favorites vs the Reds
- Mets vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Mets / Reds TV Channel: RDTV | SNY
The New York Mets (-135) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+115) on June 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 12:40 pm in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Mets are 32-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 40-31 ATS.
Mets vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Nolan McLean 3-4, 4.00 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Nick Lodolo 2-1, 5.17 ERA
Mets vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +120 | O 9 -105 | -135 |
| Reds | +1.5 -145 | U 9 -115 | +115 |
Mets vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+17.40 Units / 217% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+15.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- Mark Vientos has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.40 Units / 43% ROI)
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Francisco Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.75 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Stephenson has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+17.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Sal Stewart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+13.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Sal Stewart has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+12.10 Units / 61% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.00 Units / 31% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 50 away games (+18.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 away games (+15.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 away games (+11.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+3.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.10 Units / 11% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+8.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.30 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games at home (+4.95 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 games (+4.55 Units / 13% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 29-43 against the Run Line (-12 Units / -14.09% ROI).
- 32-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.55 Units / -23.45% ROI
- 32-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -8.62% ROI
- 35-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.55 Units / -0.69% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 40-31 against the Run Line (+0.05 Units / 0.05% ROI).
- 35-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.15 Units / -3.87% ROI
- 43-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.05 Units / 15.09% ROI
- 28-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.8 Units / -23.93% ROI
Reds vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Juan Soto | +230 |
| Mark Vientos | +280 |
| Eugenio Suarez | +325 |
| Bo Bichette | +325 |
| JJ Bleday | +333 |
Reds vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Juan Soto | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mark Vientos | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Carson Benge | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Marcus Semien | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Reds vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt McLain | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Sal Stewart | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nathaniel Lowe | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mark Vientos | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Mets are 9-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .781.
The Mets are just 15-24 (.385) after a loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Mets are just 28-37 (.431) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Mets are 22-2 (.917) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .793.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Reds are just 2-10 (.167) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 5-32 (.135) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Reds are 4-31 (.114) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Reds are 29-5 (.853) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .578 (824 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.
The Mets have scored 60 runs in innings 7-9 this season — fewest in MLB.
The Mets have scored 60 runs in late innings this season — fewest in MLB.
Mets hitters have an OBP of just .287 (1,378 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .119 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .214 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds hitters have an OPS of .748 (644 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB.
The Reds are batting just .207 with two outs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .227 against Mets pitchers this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB.
Mets pitchers have 122 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd most in MLB.
Mets pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 38 double plays in 511 opportunities (7%) this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have a strike rate of just 61% this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — lowest in MLB.
Reds pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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