- The Mets are -150 favorites vs the Reds
- Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer
- Reds starting pitcher: Luke Weaver
- Watch the game on BSOH
The New York Mets (-150) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+125) on Tuesday, May 9, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Mets vs Reds Over/Under is 10 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 17-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 19-15 ATS.
Mets vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +100 | O 10 -105 | -150 |
| Reds | +1.5 -120 | U 10 -115 | +125 |
Mets vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 70.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Reds and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 19 away games (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+12.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- TJ Friedl has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+10.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jason Vosler has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
Reds vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
Reds vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
| Starling Marte | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Reds vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Stephenson | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| TJ Friedl | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jonathan India | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Henry Ramos | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
Reds vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -115 |
| Luke Weaver | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Reds Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 15-20 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -12.92% ROI).
- 17-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -19% ROI
- 15-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -15.83% ROI
- 19-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.55 Units / 6.68% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Reds have gone 19-15 against the Run Line (+4.05 Units / 9.61% ROI).
- 14-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.55 Units / -14.76% ROI
- 18-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 1.89% ROI
- 16-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.8 Units / -10.08% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 24% (16/66) against Max Scherzer this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Max Scherzer has allowed a slugging percentage of .833 (15 Total Bases / 18 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .409 — third Percentile.
Max Scherzer has walked 11 of 351 right-handed batters (3%) since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (18/42) against Max Scherzer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (54/167) against Luke Weaver since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Luke Weaver has allowed an OBP of .389 (247 PA’s) since last season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .304 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .330 (73-for-221) against Luke Weaver since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .228 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .397 (31-for-78) against Luke Weaver with runners in scoring position since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Mets are 105-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Mets are just 9-14 (.391) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are just 3-11 (.214) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
The Mets are 118-79 (.599) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Reds are just 20-23 (.465) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Reds are just 19-29 (.396) when they’ve scored in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .651.
The Reds are just 53-12 (.815) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Reds are just 73-95 (.435) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .336 (5,101 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mets hitters have just 489 strikeouts in 2,427 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Mets have scored first in 66% of their home games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Mets are batting just .156 with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds have scored first in just 12% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
The Reds have not won a game in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 65%.
Reds hitters have a swing rate of just 25% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Reds have a winning percentage of just 25% on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .145 against Mets pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .236.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Reds pitchers have walked 735 of 7,551 batters (10%) since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .315 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .340 against Reds pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .380 against Reds pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Reds vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Tejay Antone (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Justin Dunn (Reds): Shoulder, D60
- Antonio Santillan (Reds): Back, D60
- Fernando Cruz (Reds): Shoulder, D15
- Connor Overton (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Reiver Sanmartin (Reds): Elbow, D15
- Vladimir Gutierrez (Reds): Elbow, D60
- Joseph Votto (Reds): Bicep/Shoulder, D10
- Jake Fraley (Reds): Back, Day-to-Day
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D15
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- James Yacabonis (Mets): Quad, D15
- Maxwell Scherzer (Mets): Neck, Day-to-Day
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Brooks Raley (Mets): Elbow, D15
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D10
- Carlos Carrasco (Mets): Elbow, D15
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
Bet now on Mets vs Reds and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
