- The Mets are -225 favorites vs the Rockies
- Mets starting pitcher: Maxwell Scherzer
- Rockies starting pitcher: Connor Seabold
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The New York Mets (-225) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+180) on Friday, May 26, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).
The Mets vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 26-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 24-27 ATS.
Mets vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -2.5 +100 | O 11 +100 | -225 |
| Rockies | +2.5 -120 | U 11 -120 | +180 |
Mets vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 84.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+11.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.20 Units / 57% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Daniel Vogelbach has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.65 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+8.45 Units / 70% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 11 games at home (+8.10 Units / 74% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+7.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Runs Over in his last 6 games (+7.45 Units / 122% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+7.40 Units / 41% ROI)
Rockies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Michael Toglia | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Rockies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Michael Toglia | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Starling Marte | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Rockies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Michael Toglia | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Rockies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Scherzer | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
| Connor Seabold | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -150 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games (+8.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+8.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.65 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+6.95 Units / 22% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 18-33 against the Run Line (-18.3 Units / -28.53% ROI).
- 26-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.4 Units / -15% ROI
- 24-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -9.04% ROI
- 26-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -0.18% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 24-27 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -9.2% ROI).
- 22-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.95 Units / -1.76% ROI
- 22-29 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.1 Units / -17.77% ROI
- 29-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.35 Units / 9.65% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .228 (254 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .323 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (142/449) against Max Scherzer since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (46/210) against Max Scherzer’s fastball since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (59/210) against Max Scherzer since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 43% — second Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Connor Seabold has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (38 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .387 — first Percentile.
Connor Seabold has allowed a slugging percentage of .652 (30 Total Bases / 46 ABs) on sliders this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .400 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (16/113) against Connor Seabold this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .333 (20-for-60) against Connor Seabold’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .232 — third Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Mets are 29-13 (.690) after a home loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Mets are 95-11 (.896) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Mets are 26-18 (.591) after a road loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Rockies are just 0-25 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Rockies are just 11-18 (.379) after a loss this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Rockies are just 0-28 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have scored first in just 34% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Mets are batting .260 on the road since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .331 (4,336 PA’s) on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .356 (954 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.8 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have walked 191 of 1,904 batters (10%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .168 against Mets pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 54 of 443 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 5.38 (974.0 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): oblique, D15
- Brenton Doyle (Rockies): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D15
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- James Yacabonis (Mets): Quad, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
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