- The Mets are -200 favorites vs the Rockies
- Mets starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
- Rockies starting pitcher: Robert Anderson
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The New York Mets (-200) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+165) on Saturday, May 27, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Mets vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 27-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 24-28 ATS.
Mets vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 -135 | O 11 -105 | -200 |
| Rockies | +1.5 +110 | U 11 -115 | +165 |
Mets vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 81.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+9.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+9.50 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+9.95 Units / 83% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+7.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 13 games at home (+7.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Kris Bryant has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+6.95 Units / 23% ROI)
Rockies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Alvarez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rockies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Alvarez | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -190 |
| Jeff McNeil | 1.5 +135 | 1.5 -175 |
| Starling Marte | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -200 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Rockies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Alvarez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jeff McNeil | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Daniel Vogelbach | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rockies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Verlander | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -130 |
| Chase Anderson | 2.5 -150 | 2.5 +115 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 42 games (+3.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.10 Units / 2% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.55 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games at home (+7.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games (+7.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+7.65 Units / 21% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 19-33 against the Run Line (-17.3 Units / -26.39% ROI).
- 27-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.4 Units / -13.3% ROI
- 24-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -10.69% ROI
- 27-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 1.59% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 24-28 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -10.68% ROI).
- 22-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -3.55% ROI
- 22-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.15 Units / -19.26% ROI
- 30-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.35 Units / 11.22% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .229 (761 PA’s) since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 99th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .456 (377 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .699 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .214 (501 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .213 (376 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .308 — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 30 ABs ending on a two-strike changeup from Chase Anderson. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Chase Anderson has not allowed a HR in any of his last six starts dating back to September 15th, 2022 — John Brebbia has the longest active streak at 14.
Chase Anderson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 34.2 innings he’s appeared — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 57.1.
Chase Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .222 (12 Total Bases / 54 ABs) over the last 30 days (4 games) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 97th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets are 113-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Mets are 55-31 (.640) after a loss since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Mets are 112-4 (.966) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .912.
The Mets are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are just 0-26 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Rockies are just 22-47 (.319) after a road loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Rockies are just 1-24 (.040) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Rockies are 19-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OBP of .358 (959 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Mets hitters have chased just 17% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Mets have scored first in 63% of their home games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mets hitters have just 507 strikeouts in 2,548 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.9 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.4 feet since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .165 against Mets pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have walked 55 of 452 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 180 of 1,883 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% over the past seven days (7 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): oblique, D15
- Brenton Doyle (Rockies): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D15
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- James Yacabonis (Mets): Quad, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
Bet now on Mets vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
