- The Mets are -140 favorites vs the Rockies
- Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The New York Mets (-140) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+115) on Sunday, May 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Mets vs Rockies Over/Under is 12.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 27-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 25-28 ATS.
Mets vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +100 | O 12.5 +100 | -140 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -120 | U 12.5 -120 | +115 |
Mets vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 68.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 25% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+10.90 Units / 64% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+10.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+9.50 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+11.85 Units / 91% ROI)
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games at home (+7.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Elias Diaz has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.60 Units / 94% ROI)
- Charlie Blackmon has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+7.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+6.95 Units / 26% ROI)
Rockies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Starling Marte | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -190 |
| Tommy Pham | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Francisco Lindor | 1.5 +130 | 1.5 -175 |
Rockies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Starling Marte | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Tommy Pham | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
Rockies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tylor Megill | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Austin Gomber | 3.5 +135 | 3.5 -175 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+2.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 34 games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 41 games (+7.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 34 games (+7.40 Units / 21% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 19-34 against the Run Line (-18.65 Units / -27.88% ROI).
- 27-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.5 Units / -15.57% ROI
- 25-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.2 Units / -8.8% ROI
- 27-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -0.35% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 25-28 against the Run Line (-5.4 Units / -8.66% ROI).
- 23-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.36% ROI
- 23-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.15 Units / -17.2% ROI
- 30-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.25 Units / 9.1% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .519 (14-for-27) against Tylor Megill’s elevated fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 0 Percentile.
Tylor Megill has allowed a slugging percentage of .963 (26 Total Bases / 27 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .399 — 0 Percentile.
Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 60% (264/443) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 55% (86/156) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has a strikeout rate of just 2% (1 SO in 41 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (32/82) against Austin Gomber on elevated fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed an OBP of .406 (160 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .319 — second Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed an OPS of .996 (162 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .723 — first Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Mets are 113-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Mets are 108-6 (.947) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Mets are 64-12 (.842) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Mets are 62-51 (.549) on the road since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .469.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Rockies are 20-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Rockies are just 22-47 (.319) after a road loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Rockies are just 4-10 (.286) after a road loss this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Rockies are just 6-7 (.462) after a win as favorites since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .595.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters have an OPS of .747 (5,662 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .334 (5,662 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Mets hitters have chased just 17% pitches with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mets hitters have just 1,113 strikeouts in 5,662 PA’s (20%) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .282 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Rockies have won just 47% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.2 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.4.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 56 of 461 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days (13 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 181 of 1,892 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ryan Rolison (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): oblique, D15
- Brenton Doyle (Rockies): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D15
- Christopher Cron (Rockies): Back, D10
- Noah Davis (Rockies): Elbow, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Dinelson Lamet (Rockies): Back, D15
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Shoulder, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Edwin DÃaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Jeff McNeil (Mets): Groin, Day-to-Day
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D15
- James Yacabonis (Mets): Quad, D15
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Ridings (Mets): Lat, D60
- Omar Narváez (Mets): Calf, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- José Quintana (Mets): Rib, D60
Bet now on Mets vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
