• The Mets are -140 favorites vs the Rockies
• Mets vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
• Mets / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | SNY

The New York Mets (-140) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+115) on May 4, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 5:40 pm in Denver, CO.

This season, the Mets are 12-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 20-15 ATS.

Mets vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 0-4, 6.53 ERA
• Rockies starting pitcher: Tomoyuki Sugano 3-1, 2.88 ERA

Mets vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 59.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Rockies and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+9.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.95 Units / 18% ROI)
• Francisco Alvarez has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.90 Units / 64% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+8.82 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+15.70 Units / 54% ROI)
• Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+12.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Jordan Beck has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 67% ROI)
• Troy Johnston has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+9.67 Units / 36% ROI)
• T.J. Rumfield has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+8.30 Units / 104% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 23 games (+15.00 Units / 57% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 35 games (+12.15 Units / 28% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+7.50 Units / 36% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 13 games (+0.60 Units / 3% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 52% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.80 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 91% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 50 games at home (+4.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 11-23 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -29.7% ROI).

• 12-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.75 Units / -42.48% ROI
• 13-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.95 Units / -18.56% ROI
• 18-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.45 Units / 9.24% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 20-15 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 6.92% ROI).

• 14-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 7.29% ROI
• 16-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -13.13% ROI
• 19-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 4.06% ROI

Rockies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Mets are just 7-4 (.636) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.

The Mets are just 0-87 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.

The Mets are just 8-2 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.

The Mets are just 11-19 (.367) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Rockies are just 37-101 (.268) after a loss since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.

The Rockies are just 53-112 (.321) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Rockies are just 57-140 (.289) since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rockies are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .421 (646 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are batting just .175 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .212 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .588 (396 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends

Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .270 (3,623 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have an OPS of just .609 (3,623 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have struck out in 26% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Rockies hitters have a swing rate of 51% against RHP since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last 14 days — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB.

Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.33 (876.0 IP) at home since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

The Rockies have allowed 6.93 runs per game (672/97) at home since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.40 (544.0 IP) against division opponents since the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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