Mets vs White Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 21

Chicago White Sox's Andrew Benintendi adjusts his helmet while standing on third base during the first inning of a spring training baseball game against the Texas Rangers in Phoenix, Monday, Feb. 26, 2024.
(AP Photo/Ashley Landis)
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  • The White Sox are -150 favorites vs the Mets
  • Mets vs White Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Mets / White Sox TV Channel: CHSN | WPIX

The New York Mets (+125) visit Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (-150) on August 21, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40 pm in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Mets are 58-70 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 73-51 ATS.

Mets vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 4-5, 4.25 ERA
  • White Sox starting pitcher: Sean Burke 7-6, 3.15 ERA

Mets vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets+1.5 -175O 8 -115+125
White Sox -1.5 +145U 8 -105-150

Mets vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the White Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Luis Torrens has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+24.50 Units / 490% ROI)
  • Carson Benge has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.55 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Carson Benge has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+11.25 Units / 99% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+10.50 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Jared Young has hit the Walks Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Chase Meidroth has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+25.00 Units / 250% ROI)
  • Munetaka Murakami has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+14.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Munetaka Murakami has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.20 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Miguel Vargas has hit the Walks Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+11.10 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Sam Antonacci has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 33 of their last 50 games (+15.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.10 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+7.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.95 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+16.35 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+12.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 45 games at home (+6.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.85 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.25 Units / 39% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 57-69 against the Run Line (-13.35 Units / -8.39% ROI).

  • 58-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -26.3 Units / -16.61% ROI
  • 56-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.05 Units / -9.2% ROI
  • 62-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.14% ROI

White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 73-51 against the Run Line (+7.4 Units / 4.07% ROI).

  • 66-61 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.2 Units / 8.93% ROI
  • 71-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.9 Units / 8.56% ROI
  • 54-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.55 Units / -17.49% ROI

White Sox vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Munetaka Murakami +280
Miguel Vargas +320
Colson Montgomery +360
Francisco Lindor +360
Randal Grichuk +375

White Sox vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chase Meidroth 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Bo Bichette 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -190 0.5 +140
A.J. Ewing 0.5 -185 0.5 +135

White Sox vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Brenton Doyle 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Jake Rogers 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Carson Benge 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Braden Montgomery 0.5 -235 0.5 +175

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox

The Mets are just 46-31 (.597) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 29-41 (.414) after a loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 27-8 (.771) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The White Sox are just 25-14 (.641) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The White Sox are 36-20 (.643) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Mets (23rd in runs scored).

The White Sox are 37-25 (.597) at home this season — 5th best in MLB.

The White Sox are 12-4 (.750) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 46-31 (.597) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Mets are just 29-41 (.414) after a loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

The Mets are 27-8 (.771) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The White Sox are 39-17 (.696) against the run line (23.0% ROI) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Mets (23rd in runs scored).

Games involving the White Sox went OVER in 56% of their games (8.8% ROI) this season — highest in MLB.

The White Sox are just 25-14 (.641) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Games involving the White Sox went OVER in 56% of their games (9.8% ROI) after a win this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Mets pitchers over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Mets pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Mets pitchers have walked 70 of 650 batters (11%) this month (17 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Mets pitchers this month (17 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

White Sox pitchers walked 643 of 6,241 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of .269 against White Sox pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.

White Sox pitchers walked 10% of batters in the 2025 season — 2nd highest in MLB.

White Sox pitchers had a first-pitch strike rate of just 59% in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.