Mets vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 24

New York Yankees second baseman Gleyber Torres in action against the Boston Red Sox during the eighth inning of a baseball game Saturday, June 10, 2023, in New York.
(AP Photo/Adam Hunger)
  • The are favorites vs the
  • Mets vs Yankees Over / Under today: Runs
  • Mets / Yankees TV Channel: ESPN

The New York Mets () visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees () on Wednesday, July 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Mets are 52-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 54-49 ATS.

Mets vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 6-4, 3.77 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Gerrit Cole 3-1, 4.66 ERA

Mets vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Mets O
Yankees U

Mets vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 away games (+32.50 Units / 464% ROI)
  • Jose Iglesias has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+15.20 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 away games (+13.25 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Walks Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+13.10 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Tyrone Taylor has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+11.55 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+16.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 41 games (+15.25 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 30 games (+14.70 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+13.30 Units / 121% ROI)
  • Alex Verdugo has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 27 games (+13.30 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 57 of their last 91 games (+16.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+10.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 42 games (+6.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 52 games (+6.70 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 69 games (+14.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 46 games (+14.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 69 games (+10.55 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 80 games (+10.44 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 48-52 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -5.32% ROI).

  • 52-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.08% ROI
  • 52-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • 43-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -12.6% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 54-49 against the Run Line (+11.1 Units / 9.17% ROI).

  • 60-43 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.1 Units / -0.73% ROI
  • 53-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 1.76% ROI
  • 46-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -10.75% ROI

Yankees vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +290 0.5 -375
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900

Yankees vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Volpe (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Jose Iglesias (NYM) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
DJ LeMahieu (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Yankees vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Gleyber Torres (NYY) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Ben Rice (NYY) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
J.D Martinez (NYM) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Yankees vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Quintana (NYM) 4.5 +110 4.5 -140
Luis Gil (NYY) 6.5 +120 6.5 -155

Sean Manaea has walked 20 of 171 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .340 (16-for-47) against Sean Manaea on low fastballs this season — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 15th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 13 of 91 batters (14%) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — seventh Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 41 of 424 batters (10%) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .548 (637 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .544 (349 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .722 — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed a slugging percentage of just .299 (178 Total Bases / 595 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 169 total IP; League Avg: .405 — 100th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .248 (636 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 100th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Mets are 6-38 (.136) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .056.

The Mets are just 36-11 (.766) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Mets are 7-32 (.179) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Mets are just 99-17 (.853) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Yankees are 11-14 (.440) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Yankees are 61-19 (.762) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .622.

The Yankees are 25-20 (.556) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Yankees are 19-10 (.655) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The Mets are batting .265 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

The Mets are batting .455 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .255.

Mets hitters have an OPS of .775 (1,082 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Mets are batting .360 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .332.

Yankees hitters have drawn 122 walks in 1,033 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have an OBP of .332 (2,891 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Yankees hitters have come to the plate with runners in scoring position in just 2,280 of their 9,897 plate appearances (23%) since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 396 walks in 3,750 PA’s (11%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have walked 387 of 3,841 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Mets pitchers have walked 223 of 2,310 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Yankees have won 45% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Yankees pitchers are throwing 4.03 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.

Yankees vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
  • Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Drew Smith (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Grant Hartwig (New York Mets): Knee, 7-Day IL
  • Tim Locastro (New York Mets): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
  • Starling Marte (New York Mets): Knee, 10-Day IL
  • Brooks Raley (New York Mets): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Reed Garrett (New York Mets): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.