- The Mets are -115 favorites vs the Yankees
- Mets starting pitcher: Justin Verlander
- Yankees starting pitcher: Domingo Germán
- Watch the game on TBS
The New York Mets (-115) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-105) on Tuesday, July 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Bronx.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Mets vs Yankees Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mets are 46-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 52-48 ATS.
Mets vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -120 | -115 |
| Yankees | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 +100 | -105 |
Mets vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 58.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+16.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Singles Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+15.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+15.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 40 games (+13.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 33 of his last 46 games (+13.70 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+13.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- Anthony Rizzo has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Luis Severino has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 56% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 57% ROI)
Yankees vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Yankees vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
Yankees vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Bauers | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Anthony Volpe | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mark Canha | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Francisco Lindor | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Brett Baty | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Yankees vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Domingo German | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Justin Verlander | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +115 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 89 games (+13.45 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.40 Units / 11% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+8.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+6.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 27 of their last 54 games at home (+5.15 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+4.70 Units / 42% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 38-61 against the Run Line (-32.25 Units / -25.33% ROI).
- 46-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -25.75 Units / -18.77% ROI
- 40-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.8 Units / -19.06% ROI
- 55-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.95 Units / 10.07% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Yankees have gone 52-48 against the Run Line (+2.95 Units / 2.39% ROI).
- 53-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.9 Units / -1.41% ROI
- 44-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -13 Units / -11.87% ROI
- 52-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.35 Units / 3.02% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .549 (1,006 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .712 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .489 (477 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total IP; League Avg: .710 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .116 (5-for-43) against Justin Verlander — tied for 4th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .245 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .116 (5-for-43) against Justin Verlander over the last 14 days (2 games) — 4th best in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: .247 — 93rd Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 9% (5/55) against Chris Bassitt on curveballs in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 38% of the time (125/327) when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (187/531) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 104 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 51% (125/243) against Domingo German with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 39 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Mets are just 3-11 (.214) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Mets are 128-1 (.992) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Mets are just 5-24 (.172) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
The Mets are just 15-20 (.429) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Yankees are 28-54 (.341) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .204.
The Yankees are 14-11 (.560) after a win as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Yankees are just 9-17 (.346) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
The Yankees are 15-8 (.652) after a home loss this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting just .222 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .332 (5,278 PA’s) on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .310.
The Mets are batting .259 on the road since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
The Mets have scored first in just 35% of their road games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 239 walks in 2,298 PA’s (10%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Yankees are batting just .215 with two outs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Yankees hitters have pulled 53% of balls they’ve put into play against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Yankees are batting just .231 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mets pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Mets pitchers since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have walked 358 of 3,719 batters (10%) this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The Yankees have allowed 1.08 runs per game (108/100) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.35.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Yankees pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .219 against Yankees pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Yankees pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Yankees vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Donaldson (Yankees): Calf, D60
- Willie Calhoun (Yankees): Quad, D10
- Jonathan Loáisiga (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Scott Effross (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Toe, D10
- James Weber (Yankees): Forearm, D60
- Luis Gil (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Francelis Montas (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Nestor Cortes (Yankees): Shoulder, D60
- Jose Trevino (Yankees): Wrist, D10
- Lou Trivino (Yankees): Elbow, D60
- Samuel Coonrod (Mets): Lat, D60
- Luis Guillorme (Mets): Leg, D10
- Edwin Díaz (Mets): Knee, D60
- Edwin Uceta (Mets): Ankle, D60
- Starling Marte (Mets): Migraine, D10
- Bryce Montes de Oca (Mets): Elbow, D60
- Timothy Locastro (Mets): Back, D60
- Elieser Hernández (Mets): Pec, D15
Bet now on Mets vs Yankees and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
