- The – are favorites vs the –
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zachary Gallen
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suárez
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Arizona Diamondbacks () visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies () on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Diamondbacks vs Phillies Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 29-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 18-30 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | O | ||
| Phillies | U |
Diamondbacks vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Diamondbacks and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alek Thomas has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+11.15 Units / 66% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 17 away games (+9.35 Units / 55% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+9.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 14 away games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+14.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+13.55 Units / 56% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+12.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+12.55 Units / 45% ROI)
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Garrett Stubbs | 0.5 +1000 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Garrett Stubbs | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Evan Longoria | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Garrett Stubbs | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -450 |
| Corbin Carroll | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Phillies vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -140 |
| Ranger Suarez | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 games (+12.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 22 away games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 41 games (+7.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+6.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 away games (+5.05 Units / 26% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games (+10.75 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 31 games (+7.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Diamondbacks have gone 29-20 against the Run Line (+8.55 Units / 13.9% ROI).
- 29-20 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.45 Units / 18.88% ROI
- 24-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.18% ROI
- 22-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -7.36% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 18-30 against the Run Line (-18.4 Units / -29.58% ROI).
- 22-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -12 Units / -17.8% ROI
- 20-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -13.63% ROI
- 25-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.2 Units / 6.01% ROI
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .255 (133 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .505 — 97th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .112 (14 Total Bases / 125 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .267 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .088 (11-for-125) against Zac Gallen with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .169 — 97th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 55% when ahead in the count (fifth lowest)– sixth Percentile and 75% when behind in the count this season (tied for sixth highest among qualified SPs)– 93rd Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 63% (102/161) against Ranger Suarez in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 44% (972/2,214) against Ranger Suarez since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 49% — third Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .242 (44 Total Bases / 182 ABs) versus the bottom of the order since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: .362 — 97th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has a strike rate of just 61% (465/761) in two strike counts since last season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Diamondbacks are just 74-19 (.796) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.
The Diamondbacks are just 89-7 (.927) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Diamondbacks are 7-2 (.778) after a road loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .454.
The Diamondbacks are 22-1 (.957) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Phillies are just 1-18 (.053) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Phillies are just 1-15 (.062) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Phillies are 51-28 (.646) after a win as favorites since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .597.
The Phillies are just 4-10 (.286) after a road loss this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .454.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have just 245 strikeouts in 1,284 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .334 (1,284 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Diamondbacks have barrels in 2% of PA’s since last season (185/7,819) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 4%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .205 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
28% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Phillies are batting .336 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of just .283 (590 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 75% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position since last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 17 double plays in 320 opportunities (5%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 218 of 3,275 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2021 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH (1,148 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D60
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- José Alvarado (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D15
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Oblique, D15
- Kyle Lewis (Diamondbacks): Illness, D10
- Anthony Misiewicz (Diamondbacks): Calf, D15
- Mark Melancon (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Cole Sulser (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Corbin Martin (Diamondbacks): Lat, D60
- Joseph Mantiply (Diamondbacks): Hamstring, D15
- Carson Kelly (Diamondbacks): Forearm, D60
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