- The – are favorites vs the –
- Giants starting pitcher: Anthony DeSclafani
- Twins starting pitcher: Joseph Ryan
- Watch the game on BSN
The San Francisco Giants () visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins () on Wednesday, May 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Giants vs Twins Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Giants are 24-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 25-24 ATS.
Giants vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | O | ||
| Twins | U |
Giants vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Twins will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Giants and Twins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- J.D. Davis has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 64% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 35 games (+7.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- J.D. Davis has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.50 Units / 70% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.40 Units / 63% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Carlos Correa has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+12.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- Carlos Correa has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+10.85 Units / 18% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 14 games at home (+8.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Sonny Gray has hit the Earned Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 68% ROI)
Twins vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Twins vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Twins vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Crawford | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Byron Buxton | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mike Yastrzemski | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Kirilloff | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Twins vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Ryan | 6.5 -125 | 6.5 -105 |
| Anthony DeSclafani | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games (+9.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 34 games (+7.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 38 games (+7.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+6.25 Units / 17% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+6.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.30 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.05 Units / 20% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 24-24 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -2.59% ROI).
- 24-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.45 Units / -7.48% ROI
- 21-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.5 Units / -12.22% ROI
- 25-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 4.48% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Twins have gone 25-24 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 0.84% ROI).
- 25-24 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.45 Units / -9.11% ROI
- 20-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.75 Units / -16.08% ROI
- 26-20 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.25 Units / 7.91% ROI
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 73% (22/30) against Anthony DeSclafani on sliders this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has walked 3 of 111 left-handed batters (3%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 96th Percentile.
Anthony DeSclafani has walked 7 of 219 batters (3%) this season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .184 (19-for-103) against Anthony DeSclafani this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 92nd Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 74% (301/405) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a swing rate of 61% (246/405) against Joe Ryan this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has a strike rate of 72% (598/827) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Joe Ryan has thrown his changeup 27% of the time (59/217) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Giants are 87-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .953.
The Giants are just 14-7 (.667) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Giants are 22-19 (.537) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Giants were 34-10 (.773) when totaling 10 or more hits in 2022 — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Twins are just 5-21 (.192) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Twins are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Twins are 6-4 (.600) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Twins are 12-1 (.923) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .609.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
The Giants are batting .375 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
The Giants are batting just .233 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters are slugging just .176 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Giants hitters are slugging .438 on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .208 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Twins hitters are slugging just .369 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .423.
The Twins are batting just .111 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.
Twins hitters have 121 strikeouts in 432 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 27% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Twins pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Twins have won just 12% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Twins vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Maximilian Kepler (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Kenta Maeda (Twins): Tricep, D15
- Christopher Paddack (Twins): Elbow, D60
- Gilberto Celestino (Twins): Thumb, D60
- Trevor Larnach (Twins): Pneumonia, D10
- Nicholas Gordon (Twins): Shin, D10
- Jorge Alcala (Twins): Forearm, D15
- Caleb Thielbar (Twins): Oblique Strain, D15
- Jorge Polanco (Twins): Hamstring, D10
- Tyler Mahle (Twins): Arm, D60
- Royce Lewis (Twins): Knee, D60
- Carlos Correa (Twins): Heel, Day-to-Day
- Austin Slater (Giants): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Giants): Shoulder, D60
- Luke Jackson (Giants): Elbow, D60
- Heliot Ramos (Giants): Oblique, D60
- Joc Pederson (Giants): Hand, D10
- Luis González (Giants): Back, D60
- Logan Webb (Giants): Back, Day-to-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (Giants): Left Arm, D60
- Joseph Bart (Giants): Groin, D10
- Thomas Stripling (Giants): Back, D15
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