- The Angels are -350 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
- Angels starting pitcher: Shohei Ohtani
- Watch the game on BSW
The Washington Nationals (+260) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-350) on Tuesday, April 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:38pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Nationals vs Angels Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 4-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 4-6 ATS.
Nationals vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +2.5 -130 | O 8.5 -115 | +260 |
| Angels | -2.5 +105 | U 8.5 -105 | -350 |
Nationals vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- No trends found
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in his last 4 games (+5.90 Units / 79% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Hits Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Max Stassi has hit the Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+4.60 Units / 115% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the Singles Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
Angels vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Giovanny Urshela | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -400 |
Angels vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +110 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Giovanny Urshela | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Angels vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Logan O'Hoppe | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Shohei Ohtani | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Giovanny Urshela | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Angels vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -150 |
| Josiah Gray | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 76% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 4 games (+4.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+4.30 Units / 105% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.45 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+4.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.90 Units / 27% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 6-5 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 8.43% ROI).
- 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -7.27% ROI
- 6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 22.54% ROI
- 3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -28.33% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 4-6 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -20.76% ROI).
- 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.4 Units / -21.59% ROI
- 5-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.45 Units / 12.72% ROI
- 3-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.5 Units / -23.36% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josiah Gray has located his fastball up for a strike just 28% (9/32) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray allowed a slugging percentage of .598 (140 Total Bases / 234 ABs) vs left-handed batters in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .385 — first Percentile.
Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .734 (163 Total Bases / 222 ABs) on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .428 — 0 Percentile.
Josiah Gray’s has 6 strikeouts and no walks against right-handed batters this season — tied for best K:BB ratio among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.5 — 100th Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shohei Ohtani has an OPS of 1.753 (132 PA’s) when ahead in the count since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 1.128 — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 39% (251/652) against Shohei Ohtani in 2022 — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani is slugging 1.063 (84 total bases in 79 ABs) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — 3rd best in MLB among hitters with at least 256 total PA’s; League Avg: .604 — 98th Percentile.
Shohei Ohtani slugged .775 (79 total bases in 102 ABs) with runners in scoring position in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .451 — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Nationals are just 109-13 (.893) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Nationals were just 17-32 (.347) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Nationals are just 81-47 (.633) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Nationals are just 17-32 (.347) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Angels are just 3-14 (.176) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 8-45 (.151) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Angels are just 6-14 (.300) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 37% at home since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have missed on just 21% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals are batting .330 against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.62 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters are slugging .565 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
Angels hitters struck out 1,103 times in 4,134 PA’s (27%) against RHP in 2022 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .642 (3,787 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Angels hitters have an OPS of .935 (100 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .758.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 1,161 of 12,618 batters (9%) since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers won only 9% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Angels pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Angels pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Angels vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- Griffin Canning (Angels): Groin, D15
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Anthony Rendon (Angels): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Nationals): Calf, D10
- Luis GarcÃa (Nationals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
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