- The Angels are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
- Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-165) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.
The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Nationals vs Angels Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 4-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 5-6 ATS.
Nationals vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -140 | O 9 -110 | +140 |
| Angels | -1.5 +115 | U 9 -110 | -165 |
Nationals vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Victor Robles has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.30 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+10.25 Units / 59% ROI)
- Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- Anthony Rendon has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+6.25 Units / 156% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brandon Drury has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.45 Units / 45% ROI)
Angels vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -500 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Angels vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +115 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
Angels vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Rendon | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Mike Trout | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Angels vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Griffin Canning | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.30 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.85 Units / 32% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.80 Units / 20% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 6-6 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.71% ROI).
- 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -15% ROI
- 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 12.83% ROI
- 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -18.25% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -10.94% ROI).
- 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -12.73% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 3.21% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -12.66% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has walked 6 of 29 batters (21%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 30% (59/196) versus MacKenzie Gore in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has walked 4 of 34 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 12th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 6% (1/16) against MacKenzie Gore when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Griffin Canning has limited playing time.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Nationals are just 109-13 (.893) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.
The Nationals are just 81-47 (.633) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.
The Nationals are just 27-60 (.310) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Nationals were just 6-9 (.400) when favorites in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .603.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Angels are just 3-14 (.176) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels are just 10-20 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Angels were just 8-38 (.174) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting .325 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Nationals hitters had 63 extra-base hits out of 242 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.62 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.
Nationals hitters have just 819 strikeouts in 4,022 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
Angels hitters have 1,178 strikeouts in 4,459 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Angels hitters have an OPS of just .641 (3,796 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Angels hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Angels hitters are slugging just .151 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .261 against Nationals pitchers with the shift since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .222.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers have walked 575 of 6,456 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers have walked 1,167 of 12,652 batters (9%) since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Angels pitchers won only 9% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Angels pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (52.0 IP) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.76.
Angels vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
- Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
- José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
- Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
- Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- McKenzie Dickerson (Nationals): Calf, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Ildemaro Vargas (Nationals): Shoulder, D10
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
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