Nationals vs Angels Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 12

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 12, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Angels are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
  • Angels starting pitcher: Griffin Canning
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Angel Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-165) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Anaheim.

The Angels are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Nationals vs Angels Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Nationals are 4-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 5-6 ATS.

Nationals vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -140O 9 -110+140
Angels -1.5 +115U 9 -110-165

Nationals vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Angels will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Angels and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Nationals vs Angels and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+6.45 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Victor Robles has hit the Total Bases Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.40 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.30 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Luis Rengifo has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+10.25 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Taylor Ward has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Anthony Rendon has hit the RBIs Over in his last 4 games (+6.25 Units / 156% ROI)
  • Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Brandon Drury has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.45 Units / 45% ROI)

Angels vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Rendon 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Joey Meneses 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Alex Call 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Mike Trout 0.5 +300 0.5 -500
Dominic Smith 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000

Angels vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Rendon 0.5 -175 0.5 +135
Joey Meneses 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Alex Call 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Mike Trout 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Dominic Smith 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Angels vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anthony Rendon 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Joey Meneses 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Alex Call 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Mike Trout 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Dominic Smith 0.5 +200 0.5 -275

Angels vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Griffin Canning 4.5 -130 4.5 +100
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.20 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.40 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.30 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.40 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.50 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.10 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.80 Units / 20% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 6-6 against the Run Line (+0.1 Units / 0.71% ROI).

  • 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.8 Units / -15% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.7 Units / 12.83% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -18.25% ROI

Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Angels have gone 5-6 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -10.94% ROI).

  • 6-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -12.73% ROI
  • 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.4 Units / 3.21% ROI
  • 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -12.66% ROI

MacKenzie Gore has walked 6 of 29 batters (21%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 30% (59/196) versus MacKenzie Gore in 2022 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

MacKenzie Gore has walked 4 of 34 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 12th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 6% (1/16) against MacKenzie Gore when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.

Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Griffin Canning has limited playing time.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Angels

The Nationals are just 109-13 (.893) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .954.

The Nationals are just 81-47 (.633) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Nationals are just 27-60 (.310) at home since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.

The Nationals were just 6-9 (.400) when favorites in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .603.

Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Angels are just 3-14 (.176) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels were just 3-13 (.188) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels are just 10-20 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Angels were just 8-38 (.174) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Nationals are batting .325 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Nationals hitters had 63 extra-base hits out of 242 total hits (just 26%) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.62 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.91.

Nationals hitters have just 819 strikeouts in 4,022 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Angels hitters have 1,178 strikeouts in 4,459 PA’s (26%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Angels hitters have an OPS of just .641 (3,796 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.

Angels hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone in righty-righty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.

Angels hitters are slugging just .151 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .261 against Nationals pitchers with the shift since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .222.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Nationals have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Angels pitchers have walked 575 of 6,456 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers have walked 1,167 of 12,652 batters (9%) since the 2021 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Angels pitchers won only 9% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Angels pitchers have an ERA of 3.12 (52.0 IP) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.76.

Angels vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jared Walsh (Angels): Headaches, D10
  • Max Stassi (Angels): Hip , D10
  • José Marte (Angels): Elbow, D60
  • Chris Rodriguez (Angels): Shoulder, D15
  • Robert Daniel (Angels): Shoulder, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Finger, D10
  • Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • McKenzie Dickerson (Nationals): Calf, D10
  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Ildemaro Vargas (Nationals): Shoulder, D10
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.