- The Astros are -140 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Astros TV Channel: MAS2 | SCHN
The Washington Nationals (+115) visit Daikin Park to take on the Houston Astros (-140) on Tuesday, July 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX, TX.
This season, the Nationals are 44-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 53-54 ATS.
Nationals vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 3-8, 4.85 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Jason Alexander 1-1, 8.28 ERA
Nationals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 -115 | +115 |
| Astros | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -105 | -140 |
Nationals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- James Wood has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+13.00 Units / 217% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+11.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Zack Short has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+16.50 Units / 275% ROI)
- Victor Caratini has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Victor Caratini has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Mauricio Dubon has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Jose Altuve has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 37 away games (+14.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 90 games (+11.54 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 31 games (+9.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 39 away games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 80 games (+8.17 Units / 9% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 65 of their last 107 games (+19.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 74 games (+9.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+8.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 72 games (+7.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 99 games (+4.52 Units / 4% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 54-52 against the Run Line (-8.6 Units / -6.24% ROI).
- 44-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.67 Units / -6.8% ROI
- 54-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.15 Units / 0.98% ROI
- 48-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -9.67% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 53-54 against the Run Line (-0.13 Units / -0.1% ROI).
- 60-47 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 1.3% ROI
- 44-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.1 Units / -15.46% ROI
- 57-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.6 Units / 7.26% ROI
Astros vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -625 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Taylor Trammell (HOU) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Astros vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brady House (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Astros vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Walker (HOU) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
Astros vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Alexander (HOU) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Michael Soroka (WAS) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 43 ABs ending on a two-strike curveball from Mike Soroka. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Mike Soroka has a first-pitch in-zone of just 36% (16/44) in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 56% — first Percentile.
Mike Soroka has a strike rate of just 58% (100/173) in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Mike Soroka has thrown just 45% of his pitches in the strike zone (77/173) in his last two starts — 5th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 52% — fifth Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jason Alexander has thrown his changeup 38% of the time (58/153) this month (2 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 98th Percentile.
Jason Alexander has a strikeout rate of just 11% (5 SO in 44 PAs) this month (2 games) — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .342 (13-for-38) against Jason Alexander this month (2 games) — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .247 — fifth Percentile.
Jason Alexander has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 75% (21/28) of opposing batters this month (2 games) — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 94th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Nationals are just 10-23 (.303) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Astros (Ranks seventh runs allowed) today.
The Nationals are just 37-2 (.925) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .958.
The Nationals are just 45-68 (.395) after a win since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .502.
The Nationals are just 43-62 (.406) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Astros were just 0-56 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Astros are 29-17 (.630) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .492.
The Astros are 8-4 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros were just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Nationals hitters have struck out in 30% of their PA’s against LHP over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 40% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .294 (1,277 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have put 46% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters have put just 29% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Astros hitters averaged just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance against RHP in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .770 (749 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this month (22 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals have allowed 1.91 runs per game (202/106) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.33.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Astros have won 50% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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