- The Astros are -250 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown
- Watch the game on SportsNet SW
The Washington Nationals (+200) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-250) on Tuesday, June 13, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston.
The Astros are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-135).
The Nationals vs Astros Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 26-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 34-32 ATS.
Nationals vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -115 | +200 |
| Astros | -1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -105 | -250 |
Nationals vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 87.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Astros and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 32 of his last 44 games (+15.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+15.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+14.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 38 games (+13.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 38 games (+10.15 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Abreu has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 45 games (+11.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 24 games (+10.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jose Abreu has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 37 games (+10.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+10.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Astros vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Astros vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Mauricio Dubon | 1.5 +130 | 1.5 -165 |
Astros vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Abreu | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kyle Tucker | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
Astros vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
| Hunter Brown | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -115 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 31 away games (+12.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 30 away games (+7.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 30 away games (+4.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 26 away games (+3.90 Units / 14% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 35 games (+11.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 31 games (+9.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 43 games (+7.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+6.25 Units / 16% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 37-27 against the Run Line (+6.65 Units / 8.33% ROI).
- 26-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 3.55% ROI
- 29-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -7.27% ROI
- 31-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -0.57% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Astros have gone 34-32 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -1.04% ROI).
- 37-29 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -2.28% ROI
- 32-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -6.24% ROI
- 33-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.1 Units / -2.9% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .320 (81-for-253) against Patrick Corbin this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has a strikeout rate of just 14% (46 SO in 328 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .410 (25-for-61) against Patrick Corbin on low fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .244 — second Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has a strikeout rate of just 32% (46 SO in 145 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — second Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 12% (12/97) against Hunter Brown when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Hunter Brown has thrown breaking pitches 57% of the time (299/523) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .439 (57 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .307 — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (16-for-32) against Hunter Brown on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .343 — fifth Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Nationals are just 4-6 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Nationals are just 15-28 (.349) after a road win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Nationals are just 1-132 (.008) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.
The Nationals are just 25-125 (.167) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Astros are 56-28 (.667) after a loss since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Astros are just 1-5 (.167) after a win as underdogs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .451.
The Astros are 96-9 (.914) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Astros are 61-12 (.836) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 133 strikeouts in 790 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.71 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals hitters have 100 extra-base hits out of 365 total hits (just 27%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Nationals are batting .259 on the road since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 434 strikeouts in 2,489 PA’s (17%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have just 814 strikeouts in 4,570 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros hitters have 123 extra-base hits out of 398 total hits (just 31%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Astros have won 92% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 29% against Astros pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Astros pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Lance McCullers Jr. (Astros): Elbow, D15
- Luis Garcia (Astros): Elbow, D60
- Michael Brantley (Astros): Shoulder, D10
- Yordan Alvarez (Astros): Oblique, D10
- José Urquidy (Astros): Shoulder, D15
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
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