Nationals vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 28, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Blue Jays are -250 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Kevin Gausman
  • Watch the game on SNET

The Washington Nationals (+200) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-250) on Monday, August 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Nationals vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Nationals are 61-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 61-70 ATS.

Nationals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 +100O 8 -115+200
Blue Jays -1.5 -120U 8 -105-250

Nationals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 77.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+16.45 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 away games (+12.45 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 35 games (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Riley Adams has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Corey Dickerson has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+10.30 Units / 58% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+13.65 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.60 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+11.45 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.75 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+9.50 Units / 35% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Davis Schneider 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Joey Meneses 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +340 0.5 -650
Dominic Smith 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000

Blue Jays vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Davis Schneider 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
Joey Meneses 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -165 0.5 +125
Dominic Smith 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Blue Jays vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Davis Schneider 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Kevin Kiermaier 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Joey Meneses 0.5 +195 0.5 -275
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Dominic Smith 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Blue Jays vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gausman 6.5 -110 6.5 -120
Josiah Gray 4.5 +100 4.5 -135
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 66 away games (+16.85 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+12.30 Units / 77% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 8 away games (+8.38 Units / 93% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 away games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 106 games (+18.69 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+10.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 games (+4.95 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 40 games (+1.87 Units / 4% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 74-57 against the Run Line (+9.55 Units / 5.99% ROI).

  • 61-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +24.6 Units / 18.39% ROI
  • 60-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.7 Units / -7.42% ROI
  • 64-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.25 Units / -0.88% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 61-70 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -6.07% ROI).

  • 71-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.55 Units / -6.23% ROI
  • 53-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.2 Units / -17.76% ROI
  • 72-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.35 Units / 9.25% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of 48% (244/504) against Kevin Gausman with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has allowed an OBP of just .173 (369 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has thrown his fastball for a strike 77% (2,038/2,646) of the time since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 100th Percentile.

Kevin Gausman has allowed a slugging percentage of just .184 (58 Total Bases / 316 ABs) when ahead in the count this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

keys to the game – away

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

keys to the game – home

team hitters – away

team hitters – home

team pitchers – away

team pitchers – home

Blue Jays vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Adam Cimber (Blue Jays): Shoulder, D60
  • Otto Lopez (Blue Jays): Oblique, D60
  • Matt Chapman (Blue Jays): Finger, D10
  • Erik Swanson (Blue Jays): Spine, D15
  • Bo Bichette (Blue Jays): Quad, Day-to-Day
  • Hagen Danner (Blue Jays): Oblique, D15
  • Chad Green (Blue Jays): Elbow, D60
  • Thaddeus Ward (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
  • Stone Garrett (Nationals): Leg, D60
  • Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
  • Joshua Garcia (Nationals): Biceps, D15

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.