- The Blue Jays are -190 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: José Berríos
- Watch the game on SNET
The Washington Nationals (+155) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-190) on Tuesday, August 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.
The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).
The Nationals vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 61-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 62-70 ATS.
Nationals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -130 | O 8 -105 | +155 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +105 | U 8 -115 | -190 |
Nationals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 79.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+16.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+13.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 25% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 24 away games (+10.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+10.30 Units / 58% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bo Bichette has hit the Runs Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+11.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- Brandon Belt has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- George Springer has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games at home (+8.45 Units / 31% ROI)
Blue Jays vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Ernie Clement | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
Blue Jays vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ernie Clement | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -140 | 0.5 +105 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Blue Jays vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Davis Schneider | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ernie Clement | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -375 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Blue Jays vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Berrios | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 67 away games (+15.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+11.30 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 away games (+6.93 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 107 games (+17.64 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games at home (+9.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 41 games (+5.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+4.14 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 41 games (+2.87 Units / 6% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 74-58 against the Run Line (+8.5 Units / 5.3% ROI).
- 61-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +23.6 Units / 17.51% ROI
- 61-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -6.68% ROI
- 64-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -1.68% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 62-70 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -5.41% ROI).
- 72-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -5.62% ROI
- 54-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.2 Units / -16.93% ROI
- 72-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.2 Units / 8.39% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
MacKenzie Gore has an ERA of 7.64 (66.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 3.96 — 0 Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has an average spin rate of 1971.7 RPM on sliders since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 2399.1 — second Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has walked 32 of 248 batters (13%) versus the bottom of the order since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .148 (27-for-182) against MacKenzie Gore’s elevated fastball since last season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 116 total IP; League Avg: .224 — 97th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .275 against Jose Berrios on the first pitch of at-bats this season — seventh best among qualified SPs– 89th Percentile. Opponents batted .402 (37-for-92) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — fifth worst among qualified SPs– 11th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .211 against Jose Berrios vs right-handed batters this season — tied for eighth best among qualified SPs– 87th Percentile. Right handed batters hit .276 (91-for-330) against him last season — tied for third worst among qualified SPs– eighth Percentile.
Jose Berrios has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 12 timesthis season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .211 (57-for-270) against Jose Berrios this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — 87th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Nationals are just 35-58 (.376) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Nationals are just 35-154 (.185) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .284.
The Nationals are just 61-87 (.412) on the road since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Nationals are just 20-31 (.392) after a home win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .540.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Blue Jays are 17-11 (.607) after a loss as underdogs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
The Blue Jays are 11-5 (.688) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Blue Jays are 65-25 (.722) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Blue Jays are 16-8 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are just 2-12 (.143) against the run line (-63.6% ROI) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .901 (941 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.106.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.76 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Nationals hitters have 232 extra-base hits out of 762 total hits (just 30%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .378 (123 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.
The Blue Jays are batting .261 since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Blue Jays hitters have just 455 strikeouts in 2,336 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Blue Jays are batting .264 on the road since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 23% of the time after an opposing score this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% with runners in scoring position over the last 14 days (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays pitchers have walked 177 of 2,638 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
Bet now on Nationals vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
