- The Braves are -190 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore
- Braves starting pitcher: Jared Shuster
- Watch the game on BSSE
The Washington Nationals (+155) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-190) on Saturday, June 10, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Nationals vs Braves Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 25-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 28-35 ATS.
Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -120 | O 9.5 -110 | +155 |
| Braves | -1.5 +100 | U 9.5 -110 | -190 |
Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 79.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 42 games (+16.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+14.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+13.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+13.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 42 games (+10.55 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+15.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 29 games (+15.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 44 games (+14.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+12.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 37 games (+11.10 Units / 24% ROI)
Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Braves vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Stone Garrett | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Matt Olson | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jeimer Candelario | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jared Shuster | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
| Mackenzie Gore | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 29 away games (+12.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+7.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 28 away games (+6.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 away games (+4.95 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 24 away games (+4.00 Units / 15% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games (+6.25 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.65 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 36-26 against the Run Line (+6.7 Units / 8.64% ROI).
- 25-37 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 1.51% ROI
- 28-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -7.43% ROI
- 30-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.44% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 28-35 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -8.86% ROI).
- 39-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.9 Units / 3.87% ROI
- 34-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.45 Units / 7.9% ROI
- 26-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.9 Units / -17.07% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .119 (7-for-59) against MacKenzie Gore’s elevated fastball this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .222 — 97th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 29% (80 SO in 274 PAs) this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 90th Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 37% (26 SO in 70 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 91st Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has struck out 43% (10/23) of left-handed batters he faced — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jared Shuster has walked 19 of 130 batters (15%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Jared Shuster has walked 8 of 38 batters (21%) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 9% — second Percentile.
Jared Shuster has allowed a BABIP of .230 this season — tied for 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .296 — 95th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 44% of Jared Shuster’s pitches (209/478) this season — 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: 48% — eighth Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals were just 17-94 (.153) when scoring 4 or fewer runs in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Nationals were just 0-98 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.
The Nationals were just 26-22 (.542) when totaling 10 or more hits in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Nationals were just 55-90 (.379) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits in 2022 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves were 21-15 (.583) when allowing 2 or more home runs in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Braves were 11-3 (.786) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves were 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2022 — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves were 36-5 (.878) when scoring in the first inning in 2022 — best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 33% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have 97 extra-base hits out of 356 total hits (just 27%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters have drawn 106 walks in 1,575 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Nationals hitters have 159 extra-base hits out of 554 total hits (just 29%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .910 (619 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .748.
Braves hitters are slugging .546 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Braves hitters are slugging .680 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .568.
Braves hitters are slugging .480 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have won 61% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 17% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Braves have won just 0% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Braves vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dylan Lee (Braves): Shoulder, D15
- Max Fried (Braves): Forearm, D60
- Tyler Matzek (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Ehire Adrianza (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Wright (Braves): Shoulder, D60
- Kolby Allard (Braves): Oblique, D60
- Huascar Ynoa (Braves): Elbow, D60
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Nationals vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
