- The Braves are -235 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Braves TV Channel: MASN | FDSO | FDSE
The Washington Nationals (+195) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-235) on Tuesday, May 13, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Atlanta, GA, GA.
This season, the Nationals are 17-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 17-24 ATS.
Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mike Soroka 0-2, 7.21 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 1-3, 3.62 ERA
Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -105 | O 8.5 -120 | +195 |
| Braves | -1.5 -115 | U 8.5 +100 | -235 |
Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 66.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- James Wood has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+9.55 Units / 159% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Dylan Crews has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.75 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+15.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Eli White has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ozzie Albies has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games at home (+9.05 Units / 60% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.35 Units / 55% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.10 Units / 41% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 12 games (+9.85 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.80 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 games (+9.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+3.05 Units / 34% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 20-22 against the Run Line (-5.65 Units / -10.62% ROI).
- 17-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.47 Units / -12.3% ROI
- 21-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.65 Units / -1.42% ROI
- 20-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.1 Units / -6.66% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 17-24 against the Run Line (-7.52 Units / -15.44% ROI).
- 20-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.18 Units / -14.97% ROI
- 16-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -18.22% ROI
- 22-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.55 Units / 10.18% ROI
Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -450 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo (ATL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Braves vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -220 |
Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
| Michael Soroka (WAS) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mike Soroka has a strikeout rate of 42% (34 SO in 81 PAs) in late innings since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.
Mike Soroka has walked 12% of batters since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
Mike Soroka has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last five games dating back to April 30th, 2024 — Andrew Abbott has the longest active streak at 7.
Mike Soroka walked 13% of batters in the 2024 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 34% (60/178) against Spencer Schwellenbach on fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (136/193) this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (27/76) against Spencer Schwellenbach on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 92nd Percentile.
Spencer Schwellenbach has allowed an OPS of just .477 (27 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 1.008 — 97th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals were just 20-43 (.317) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Nationals are just 62-95 (.392) after a win since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .505.
The Nationals are just 3-6 (.333) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Braves (15th best runs scored) today.
The Nationals were just 27-44 (.380) after a win in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are 4-17 (.190) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .082.
The Braves are 85-5 (.944) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Braves are 102-82 (.554) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Braves are 5-15 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters struck out just 340 times in 1,868 PA’s (18%) against LHP in 2023 — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters struck out just 1,149 times in 6,085 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .963 (2,531 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.080.
Nationals hitters had an OBP of just .285 (819 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves hitters slugged .521 against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Braves hitters slugged .751 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .596.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes in 2023 — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers allowed an OBP of .372 (1,428 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals have allowed 2.31 runs per game (97/42) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.35.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
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