- The Braves are -225 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Nationals / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | NATV
The Washington Nationals (+185) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on May 22, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Nationals are 25-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 34-17 ATS.
Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 1-3, 6.86 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Grant Holmes 3-1, 3.81 ERA
Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -110 | O 9 -115 | +185 |
| Braves | -1.5 -110 | U 9 -105 | -225 |
Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 70.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+20.00 Units / 250% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.09 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jose Tena has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.40 Units / 58% ROI)
- Miles Mikolas has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+17.60 Units / 293% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Dominic Smith has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 48% ROI)
- Bryce Elder has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.40 Units / 48% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 50 games (+17.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 45 away games (+16.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 30 away games (+13.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+13.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.25 Units / 30% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 50 games (+21.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+16.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+13.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 31-19 against the Run Line (+6.25 Units / 8.75% ROI).
- 25-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.4 Units / 14.29% ROI
- 32-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.7 Units / 26.18% ROI
- 16-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -19 Units / -33.87% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 34-17 against the Run Line (+22.6 Units / 39.2% ROI).
- 35-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +15 Units / 21.17% ROI
- 23-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.2 Units / -7.45% ROI
- 25-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.3 Units / 0.54% ROI
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .055.
The Nationals are just 18-5 (.783) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .863.
The Nationals are just 16-52 (.232) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Nationals are just 90-122 (.423) since the 2025 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are 19-1 (.950) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .755.
The Braves are 35-16 (.686) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 19-3 (.864) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Braves are 7-4 (.636) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season Today, they face the Nationals (first in runs scored).
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals are batting just .184 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging .429 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB.
The Nationals have scored 2.02 runs per game (103/51) in late innings this season — best in MLB.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .248 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .446 this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters are slugging .456 against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Braves hitters are slugging .457 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .792 (1,255 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 5.80 runs per game (296/51) this season — highest in MLB.
The Nationals have allowed 6.35 runs per game (165/26) at home this season — highest in MLB.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.3 MPH (1,367 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.
Opponents are hitting just .207 against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB.
Braves pitchers have an ERA of 3.11 (454.0 IP) this season — best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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