Nationals vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 24

Atlanta Braves second base Ozzie Albies (1) is shown in action against the Chicago Cubs in a baseball game Tuesday, May 14, 2024, in Atlanta.
(AP Photo/John Bazemore)
BetMGM Welcome OfferMore Promos
  • The Braves are -175 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Nationals vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Nationals / Braves TV Channel: BRVN | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+145) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-175) on May 24, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Nationals are 25-27 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 34-18 ATS.

Nationals vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Nationals starting pitcher: Foster Griffin 5-2, 4.02 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Martin Perez 2-2, 2.86 ERA

Nationals vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -150O 8.5 -115+145
Braves -1.5 +125U 8.5 -105-175

Nationals vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Nationals vs Braves and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • player high – away 

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • player  high – home
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 40 away games (+16.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+15.55 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 30 away games (+13.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+13.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 35 away games (+12.25 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+18.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 40 games (+16.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+11.50 Units / 35% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 32-19 against the Run Line (+7.25 Units / 9.97% ROI).

  • 25-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.4 Units / 12.12% ROI
  • 33-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +15.7 Units / 27.42% ROI
  • 16-33 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.1 Units / -35.14% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 34-18 against the Run Line (+21.6 Units / 36.83% ROI).

  • 36-16 when betting on the Moneyline for +16 Units / 22.01% ROI
  • 24-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -5.57% ROI
  • 25-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -1.41% ROI

Braves vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Matt Olson +390
Austin Riley +425
Ronald Acuna Jr. +450
James Wood +450
Ozzie Albies +475

Braves vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Curtis Mead 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
James Wood 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Mauricio Dubon 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Austin Riley 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Braves vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Olson 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Austin Riley 0.5 -210 0.5 +150
CJ Abrams 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Ronald Acuna Jr. 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Curtis Mead 0.5 -165 0.5 +125

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Nationals are just 19-6 (.760) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .862.

The Nationals are just 0-23 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.

The Nationals are just 16-52 (.232) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.

The Nationals are just 37-53 (.407) after a win since the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Braves are 13-3 (.812) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .477.

The Braves are 36-17 (.679) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Braves are 20-1 (.952) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .754.

The Braves are 4-14 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Nationals are batting just .188 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have scored 2.00 runs per game (106/53) in late innings this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .278 (245 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have scored 287 runs this season — most in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .440 against RHP this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters are slugging .457 on the road this season — best in MLB.

The Braves are batting .262 this season — best in MLB.

Braves hitters have an OPS of .769 (1,317 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB.

The Nationals have allowed 6.35 runs per game (165/26) at home this season — highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Opponents are hitting just .207 against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB.

Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Braves have allowed 3.36 runs per game (178/53) this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Nationals vs Braves and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.