Nationals vs Brewers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 12

Milwaukee Brewers' Brice Turang swings during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals Saturday, Sept. 16, 2023, in Milwaukee. (AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
(AP Photo/Aaron Gash)
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  • The Brewers are -200 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Nationals vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Nationals / Brewers TV Channel: BRTV | NATV

The Washington Nationals (+165) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-200) on April 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10 pm in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Nationals are 6-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 9-5 ATS.

Nationals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Nationals starting pitcher: Zack Littell 0-1, 3.60 ERA
  • Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff 1-0, 5.91 ERA

Nationals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -135O 8 -120+165
Brewers -1.5 +110U 8 +100-200

Nationals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+24.30 Units / 270% ROI)
  • Daylen Lile has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+18.70 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 20 away games (+15.65 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Daylen Lile has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+10.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Daylen Lile has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • David Hamilton has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Sal Frelick has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Garrett Mitchell has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+8.80 Units / 98% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 away games (+12.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games (+10.90 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 away games (+9.30 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 20 away games (+8.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+8.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+14.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+10.20 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+8.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+7.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 50 games at home (+7.90 Units / 10% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 8-5 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 13.22% ROI).

  • 6-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 10.92% ROI
  • 10-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.65 Units / 37.05% ROI
  • 4-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.2 Units / -46.15% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 9-5 against the Run Line (+5.75 Units / 34.53% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.4 Units / -2% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 8.09% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -18.51% ROI

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

The Nationals were just 65-96 (.401) in the 2025 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals are 6-2 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals were just 11-43 (.200) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Nationals are just 12-46 (.203) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.

Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Brewers are 79-7 (.919) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Brewers are just 0-6 (.000) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .291.

The Brewers are 32-23 (.582) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2025 season Today, they face the Nationals (third in runs scored).

The Brewers were 71-7 (.910) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

Nationals hitters have an OPS of .837 (190 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Nationals won only 40% of their home games in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals are batting .293 against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Nationals hitters slugged just .353 against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (3,464 PA’s) on the road since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Brewers batted .268 against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Brewers hitters had an OBP of .339 (3,229 PA’s) on the road in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

The Brewers batted .255 with two outs in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 7.85 (55.0 IP) at home this season — highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Nationals allowed 1.85 runs per game (299/162) in late innings in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Nationals pitchers have walked 16% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd highest in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have picked-off 6 runners this season — most in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have picked-off 5 runners from first base this season — most in MLB.

Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Brewers pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.8 MPH in the 2025 season (3,916 balls in play) — tied for 3rd best in MLB

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.