- The Brewers are -250 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Brewers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Brewers TV Channel: MAS2 | FDWI
The Washington Nationals (+200) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-250) on Saturday, July 12, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI, WI.
This season, the Nationals are 38-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 49-43 ATS.
Nationals vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Shinnosuke Ogasawara 0-1, 13.51 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff 1-0, 1.50 ERA
Nationals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -102 | O 8.5 -102 | +200 |
| Brewers | -1.5 -118 | U 8.5 -118 | -250 |
Nationals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 67.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+14.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Daylen Lile has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.70 Units / 49% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+17.00 Units / 340% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- Isaac Collins has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 62% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 78 games (+12.84 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 games (+10.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 40 of their last 68 games (+10.02 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 31 away games (+10.00 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 33 away games (+6.65 Units / 20% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 44 of their last 90 games (+18.00 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 48 games (+16.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Under in 52 of their last 90 games (+13.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 90 games (+13.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 87 games (+10.44 Units / 10% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 46-48 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -9.26% ROI).
- 38-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.72 Units / -10.64% ROI
- 48-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.95 Units / 1.88% ROI
- 42-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.6 Units / -10.26% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 49-43 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.16% ROI).
- 54-40 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 9.62% ROI
- 38-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.85 Units / -20.02% ROI
- 53-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.35 Units / 11.05% ROI
Brewers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Josh Bell (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
Brewers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Sal Frelick (MIL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Isaac Collins (MIL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Brewers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vaughn (MIL) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shinnosuke Ogasawara (WAS) | 2.5 -130 | 2.5 +100 |
| Brandon Woodruff (MIL) | 6.5 +150 | 6.5 -200 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shinnosuke Ogasawara has limited playing time.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Woodruff has not allowed a walk in his last 71 PAs against a RHH dating back to August 25th, 2023 — Dennis Santana has the longest active streak at 89.
Brandon Woodruff has a strike rate of 76% (53/70) this month (1 game) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last seven games — Zack Wheeler has the longest active streak at 14.
Opponents batted just .079 (5-for-63) against Brandon Woodruff’s elevated fastballs in 2023 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Nationals are just 37-56 (.394) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are just 36-49 (.419) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Nationals are just 7-13 (.350) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Brewers (Ranks eighth runs allowed) today.
The Nationals are just 106-125 (.457) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Brewers are 17-5 (.773) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .632.
The Brewers are 78-51 (.605) at home since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Brewers are 119-8 (.937) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Brewers are 54-14 (.794) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .293 (1,234 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
The Nationals are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 39% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have 31 extra-base hits out of 124 total hits (just 25%) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 45% against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Brewers hitters are slugging just .478 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .579.
The Brewers are batting just .197 in hitter’s counts over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .331.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have allowed 1.93 runs per game (181/94) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.18 (828.1 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.09.
Nationals pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 60% of their games this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 57% of the time this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 66% of the time over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 69% of the time this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this month (10 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Brewers pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 56% of the time since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
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