- The Brewers are -300 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
- Brewers starting pitcher: Brandon Woodruff
- Watch the game on BSWI
The Washington Nationals (+230) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-300) on Sunday, September 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+115).
The Nationals vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 65-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 73-75 ATS.
Nationals vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Nationals | +2.5 -140 | O 8 -120 | +230 |
Brewers | -2.5 +115 | U 8 +100 | -300 |
Nationals vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 84.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Nationals vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 20 away games (+17.85 Units / 71% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 21 away games (+16.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+12.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 22 away games (+11.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+11.60 Units / 51% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+17.85 Units / 83% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+15.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+15.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.70 Units / 40% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 46 games (+11.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Brewers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Carlos Santana | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Victor Caratini | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
William Contreras | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Brewers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Carlos Santana | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Victor Caratini | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
William Contreras | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
Brewers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Carlos Santana | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Victor Caratini | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Dominic Smith | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
William Contreras | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Brewers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Patrick Corbin | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Brandon Woodruff | 6.5 -110 | 6.5 -120 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- team high – away
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- team high – home
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 79-70 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -0.88% ROI).
- 65-84 when betting on the Moneyline for +15 Units / 9.82% ROI
- 71-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -3.79% ROI
- 70-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.6 Units / -4.65% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 73-75 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -2.97% ROI).
- 84-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.55 Units / 5.55% ROI
- 67-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.25 Units / -10.52% ROI
- 76-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.55 Units / 1.58% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .827 (726 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .704 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .294 (195-for-663) against Patrick Corbin this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .243 — third Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .300 (164-for-546) against Patrick Corbin this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .242 — sixth Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .845 (595 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .690 — fourth Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .226 (19-for-84) against Brandon Woodruff on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .343 — 99th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 22.0 innings pitched — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Brandon Woodruff has allowed an OPS of just .341 (57 PA’s) — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .684 — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Woodruff has allowed an OBP of just .184 (495 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 99th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Nationals are just 37-63 (.370) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .515.
The Nationals are just 59-40 (.596) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Nationals are just 36-161 (.183) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .282.
The Nationals are just 44-75 (.370) after a win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
keys to the game – home
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 722 strikeouts in 3,723 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have just 325 strikeouts in 1,776 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have just 1,059 strikeouts in 5,583 PA’s (19%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals are just 2-12 (.143) against the run line (-63.6% ROI) after a win as favorites since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .449.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging just .240 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .273.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.04 pitches per plate appearance since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Brewers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Brewers hitters are averaging 4.03 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have walked 5 of 119 batters (4%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Brewers pitchers have walked 2 of 67 batters (3%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers pitchers have 195 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th fewest in MLB.
Brewers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eric Lauer (Brewers): Shoulder, D15
- Garrett Mitchell (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Darin Ruf (Brewers): Knee, D60
- Justin Wilson (Brewers): Lat, D60
- Aaron Ashby (Brewers): Labrum, D60
- Jean Carlos Mejía (Brewers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio Teheran (Brewers): Hip, D15
- Jesse Winker (Brewers): Back, D10
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Finger, D15
- Stone Garrett (Nationals): Leg, D60
- Riley Adams (Nationals): Wrist, D10
- Carl Edwards Jr. (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
Bet now on Nationals vs Brewers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
