- The Cardinals are -200 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Nationals / Cardinals TV Channel: FDMW | MAS2
The Washington Nationals (+165) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-200) on Tuesday, July 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Nationals are 37-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 50-41 ATS.
Nationals vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 7-3, 4.76 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 8-3, 3.54 ERA
Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -125 | O 8.5 -110 | +165 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +105 | U 8.5 -110 | -200 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 away games (+9.70 Units / 108% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.65 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sonny Gray has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+10.40 Units / 130% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.65 Units / 62% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 29% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 45-45 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -7.19% ROI).
- 37-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.97 Units / -9.27% ROI
- 46-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 1.06% ROI
- 41-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -9.55% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 50-41 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 3.17% ROI).
- 48-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 4.01% ROI
- 47-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 2.89% ROI
- 40-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.75 Units / -11.75% ROI
Cardinals vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cardinals vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Lars Nootbaar (STL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown 61% of his pitches in the strike zone (200/329) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown 59% of his pitches in the strike zone (421/719) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown 57% of his pitches in the strike zone (959/1,671) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has a first-pitch in-zone of 65% (291/447) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 56% — 97th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has walked 4% of batters this season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Sonny Gray had a strikeout rate of 58% (203/350) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray allowed an OBP of just .160 (350 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a two strike miss rate of 35% (151/426) against Sonny Gray in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 31-117 (.209) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
The Nationals are just 36-53 (.400) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are just 35-46 (.427) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Nationals are just 7-22 (.233) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .365.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are just 11-36 (.234) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Cardinals are 39-1 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Cardinals are 103-5 (.954) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Cardinals were 18-9 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Nationals hitters are slugging .233 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Nationals are batting .166 on pitches out of the zone this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .148.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 39% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have struck out in 35% of their PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals hitters are averaging 3.99 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.87.
Cardinals hitters have 44 extra-base hits out of 104 total hits (42%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have allowed 1.98 runs per game (178/90) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.81 (220.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 7% of batters this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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