- The Nationals are -102 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Nationals vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Nationals / Cardinals TV Channel: FDMW | MASN
The Washington Nationals (+110) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-130) on Wednesday, July 9, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO, MO.
This season, the Nationals are 37-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 51-41 ATS.
Nationals vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 3-8, 3.15 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 5-4, 4.12 ERA
Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -210 | O 7.5 -110 | +110 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +170 | U 7.5 -110 | -130 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Earned Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Strikeouts Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 7 of his last 10 away games (+3.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+2.25 Units / 9% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andre Pallante has hit the Strikeouts Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 74% ROI)
- Andre Pallante has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.65 Units / 25% ROI)
- Andre Pallante has hit the Earned Runs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andre Pallante has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.15 Units / 52% ROI)
- Andre Pallante has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 4 of his last 6 games at home (+1.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 45-46 against the Run Line (-8.35 Units / -7.19% ROI).
- 37-54 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.97 Units / -9.27% ROI
- 46-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.05 Units / 1.06% ROI
- 41-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.45 Units / -9.55% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 51-41 against the Run Line (+3.9 Units / 3.17% ROI).
- 49-43 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.2 Units / 4.01% ROI
- 47-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 2.89% ROI
- 40-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.75 Units / -11.75% ROI
Cardinals vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
Cardinals vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +115 |
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 5.5 -120 | 5.5 -110 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .545 (12 GB hits out of 22 GBs) against MacKenzie Gore with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .240 — second Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has thrown just 40% of his pitches in the strike zone (86/214) in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 52% — first Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a strikeout rate of 37% (36 SO in 98 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .514 (19 GB hits out of 37 GBs) against MacKenzie Gore with runners on base this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 0 Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (195/303) against Andre Pallante this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 64% (66/103) against Andre Pallante in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 71% (223/316) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 67% (98/146) against Andre Pallante this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 35-47 (.422) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Nationals are just 36-54 (.396) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are just 11-44 (.200) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Nationals are just 7-22 (.233) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .368.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are 40-1 (.976) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .909.
The Cardinals are 104-5 (.954) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .903.
The Cardinals are just 12-36 (.250) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Cardinals were 69-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Nationals hitters are slugging .233 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 41% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Nationals are batting .192 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .953 (685 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.061.
Cardinals hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cardinals hitters struck out just 351 times in 1,755 PA’s (20%) against LHP in the 2024 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Cardinals are batting just .163 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have allowed 1.96 runs per game (178/91) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.81 (220.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.12.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Cardinals pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Batters facing the Cardinals pitchers put 41% of their swings in play this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
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