Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 5

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 05, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Cardinals (79-55) are -250 favorites vs the Nationals (47-87)
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Aníbal Sánchez (1-5), 5.05 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty (0-0), 5.62 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Washington Nationals (+200) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-250) on Monday, September 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:15pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Nationals vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 46-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 75-56 ATS.

Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 +105O 8 +100+200
Cardinals -1.5 -125U 8 -120-250

Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s matchup with 62.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 32 away games (+20.05 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 away games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games at home (+17.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 50 games at home (+16.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 55 games (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 52 games at home (+12.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.10 Units / 28% ROI)

Cardinals vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Corey Dickerson 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Cardinals vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 -165 0.5 +115
Corey Dickerson 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 -250 0.5 +160

Cardinals vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Corey Dickerson 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 +135 0.5 -190

Cardinals vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jack Flaherty 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
Anibal Sanchez 3.5 +105 3.5 -145
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 69 of their last 121 games (+15.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+11.65 Units / 105% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+3.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+0.45 Units / 2% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 57-74 against the Run Line (-24.1 Units / -15.09% ROI).

  • 46-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.7 Units / -10.78% ROI
  • 65-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.14% ROI
  • 59-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -8.35% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 75-56 against the Run Line (+17.4 Units / 10.67% ROI).

  • 76-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.15 Units / 6.8% ROI
  • 61-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -6.96% ROI
  • 64-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -1.89% ROI

Anibal Sanchez has walked 5 of 42 batters (12%) — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.

Anibal Sanchez has a strike rate of just 58% (103/176) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .147 (5-for-34) against Anibal Sanchez — 8th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .224 — 92nd Percentile.

Anibal Sanchez has walked 5 of 32 right-handed batters (16%) — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Jack Flaherty: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jack Flaherty has limited playing time.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Nationals are just 22-47 (.319) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Nationals are just 47-73 (.392) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Nationals are just 15-77 (.163) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Nationals are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Cardinals are 13-4 (.765) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 45-22 (.672) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.

The Cardinals are 43-8 (.843) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

The Cardinals are 12-9 (.571) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Nationals hitters have just 724 strikeouts in 3,499 PA’s (21%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Nationals have scored first in just 28% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .328 (5,630 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .475 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .812 (2,434 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Cardinals hitters have 245 extra-base hits out of 565 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters have just 228 strikeouts in 1,189 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .271 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .221.

The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Nationals pitchers have walked 474 of 5,179 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.47 (545.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% against Cardinals pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 132 double plays in 1,003 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cardinals vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Nelson Cruz (Nationals): Knee, Day-to-Day
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.