- The Cardinals (79-55) are -250 favorites vs the Nationals (47-87)
- Nationals starting pitcher: Aníbal Sánchez (1-5), 5.05 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty (0-0), 5.62 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Washington Nationals (+200) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-250) on Monday, September 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:15pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Nationals vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 46-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 75-56 ATS.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 +105 | O 8 +100 | +200 |
| Cardinals | -1.5 -125 | U 8 -120 | -250 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s matchup with 62.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 32 away games (+20.05 Units / 61% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 away games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games at home (+17.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 50 games at home (+16.75 Units / 30% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 55 games (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 52 games at home (+12.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Cardinals vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +115 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
Cardinals vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Albert Pujols | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Anibal Sanchez | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 69 of their last 121 games (+15.85 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+11.65 Units / 105% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+3.70 Units / 62% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+4.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.65 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 14 games at home (+0.45 Units / 2% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 57-74 against the Run Line (-24.1 Units / -15.09% ROI).
- 46-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.7 Units / -10.78% ROI
- 65-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 0.14% ROI
- 59-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -12 Units / -8.35% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 75-56 against the Run Line (+17.4 Units / 10.67% ROI).
- 76-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.15 Units / 6.8% ROI
- 61-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -6.96% ROI
- 64-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -1.89% ROI
Aníbal Sánchez: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anibal Sanchez has walked 5 of 42 batters (12%) — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez has a strike rate of just 58% (103/176) — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .147 (5-for-34) against Anibal Sanchez — 8th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .224 — 92nd Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez has walked 5 of 32 right-handed batters (16%) — 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Jack Flaherty: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has limited playing time.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 22-47 (.319) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Nationals are just 47-73 (.392) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Nationals are just 15-77 (.163) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Nationals are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are 13-4 (.765) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 45-22 (.672) at home this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Cardinals are 43-8 (.843) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Cardinals are 12-9 (.571) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have just 724 strikeouts in 3,499 PA’s (21%) against LHP since the start of last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals have scored first in just 28% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of .328 (5,630 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters are slugging .475 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .812 (2,434 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Cardinals hitters have 245 extra-base hits out of 565 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters have just 228 strikeouts in 1,189 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .271 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .221.
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals pitchers have walked 474 of 5,179 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.47 (545.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 59% against Cardinals pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 132 double plays in 1,003 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Nelson Cruz (Nationals): Knee, Day-to-Day
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Calf, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
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