Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 6

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 06, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Cardinals (79-56) are -250 favorites vs the Nationals (48-87)
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Paolo Espino (0-6), 4.21 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: José Quintana (4-6), 3.46 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Washington Nationals (+200) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-250) on Tuesday, September 6, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Nationals vs Cardinals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 47-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 75-57 ATS.

Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 +105O 8 -115+200
Cardinals -1.5 -125U 8 -105-250

Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 62.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cardinals vs Nationals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 32 away games (+20.05 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games (+17.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 33 away games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.85 Units / 34% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 50 games at home (+17.95 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 50 games at home (+16.75 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 55 games (+12.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 52 games at home (+12.65 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Corey Dickerson has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 games (+11.10 Units / 28% ROI)

Cardinals vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Corey Dickerson 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +310 0.5 -550

Cardinals vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
Brendan Donovan 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Corey Dickerson 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -275 0.5 +180

Cardinals vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Albert Pujols 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Corey Dickerson 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +110 0.5 -160

Cardinals vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jose Quintana 4.5 +100 4.5 -140
Paolo Espino 2.5 -175 2.5 +120
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 69 of their last 122 games (+14.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 12 away games (+13.00 Units / 108% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+7.90 Units / 155% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 away games (+5.55 Units / 79% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.55 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games at home (+5.65 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 51 games (+3.20 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+1.35 Units / 12% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 58-74 against the Run Line (-23.05 Units / -14.34% ROI).

  • 47-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.45 Units / -9.06% ROI
  • 65-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -0.55% ROI
  • 60-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -11 Units / -7.59% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 75-57 against the Run Line (+16.15 Units / 9.82% ROI).

  • 76-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.5 Units / 5.24% ROI
  • 61-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -11 Units / -7.6% ROI
  • 65-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.7 Units / -1.18% ROI

Paolo Espino has averaged 77.7 MPH on sliders since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 146 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — third Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .245 (46-for-188) against Paolo Espino with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .170 — first Percentile.

Paolo Espino has not allowed a walk in his last 73 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 30th — Chris Martin has the longest active streak at 164.

Paolo Espino has allowed a slugging percentage of .383 (72 Total Bases / 188 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 66 total IP; League Avg: .266 — first Percentile.

José Quintana: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 62% (1,175/1,894) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 55% (445/804) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% (75/138) against Jose Quintana in two-strike counts this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 89th Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 62% (1,390/2,231) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Nationals are just 15-77 (.163) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Nationals are just 111-16 (.874) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Nationals are just 7-74 (.086) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Nationals are just 48-73 (.397) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Cardinals are 43-8 (.843) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .713.

The Cardinals are 7-44 (.137) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Cardinals are 29-3 (.906) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Cardinals are 13-4 (.765) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 32% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .329 (5,677 PA’s) on the road since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .309.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 279 double plays in 2,182 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cardinals hitters have 245 extra-base hits out of 565 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .475 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .827 (1,189 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .478 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .399.

The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .271 against Nationals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .220.

The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Nationals pitchers have walked 476 of 5,211 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 132 double plays in 1,018 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Cardinals vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.