Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 7

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 07, 2022, 3:31 PM
  • The Cardinals (80-56) are -300 favorites vs the Nationals (48-88)
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Cory Abbott (0-2), 4.38 ERA
  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (8-3), 3.15 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSMW

The Washington Nationals (+240) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-300) on Wednesday, September 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.

The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).

The Nationals vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 47-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 76-57 ATS.

Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+2.5 -130O 7.5 -105+240
Cardinals -2.5 +105U 7.5 -115-300

Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 62.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 33 away games (+19.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 26 games (+18.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 34 away games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.35 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 away games (+13.85 Units / 29% ROI)

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 51 games at home (+16.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 51 games at home (+15.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 56 games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Corey Dickerson has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 53 games at home (+10.30 Units / 9% ROI)

Cardinals vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Corey Dickerson 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Cardinals vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Donovan 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Corey Dickerson 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Nolan Arenado 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Nolan Gorman 0.5 -155 0.5 +110

Cardinals vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brendan Donovan 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Corey Dickerson 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Nolan Arenado 0.5 +100 0.5 -145
Nolan Gorman 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 69 of their last 123 games (+14.80 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 away games (+12.00 Units / 92% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+6.90 Units / 113% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+4.55 Units / 57% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.55 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.65 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 games (+4.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+2.35 Units / 17% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 58-75 against the Run Line (-24.05 Units / -14.87% ROI).

  • 47-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -9.72% ROI
  • 65-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -1.22% ROI
  • 61-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -10 Units / -6.85% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 76-57 against the Run Line (+17.15 Units / 10.35% ROI).

  • 77-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 5.71% ROI
  • 61-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -8.23% ROI
  • 66-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -0.48% ROI

Cory Abbott has limited playing time.

Jordan Montgomery: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (81/226) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 94th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has walked 29 of 609 batters (5%) this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 87th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 8 timesthis season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has walked 5 of 115 batters (4%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Nationals are just 15-78 (.161) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Nationals are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Nationals are just 11-67 (.141) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.

The Nationals are just 70-110 (.389) at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Cardinals are 13-4 (.765) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 63-3 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.

The Cardinals are 68-19 (.782) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Cardinals are 43-9 (.827) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Nationals hitters have just 669 strikeouts in 3,382 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Cardinals hitters have 245 extra-base hits out of 565 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals hitters are slugging .475 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .825 (1,193 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .811 (2,438 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Nationals pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

Nationals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 85 double plays in 1,034 opportunities (8%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 134 double plays in 1,023 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Cardinals have won 59% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Cardinals vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
  • Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.