- The Cardinals (80-56) are -300 favorites vs the Nationals (48-88)
- Nationals starting pitcher: Cory Abbott (0-2), 4.38 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery (8-3), 3.15 ERA
- Watch the game on BSMW
The Washington Nationals (+240) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-300) on Wednesday, September 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis.
The Cardinals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).
The Nationals vs Cardinals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 47-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 76-57 ATS.
Nationals vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +2.5 -130 | O 7.5 -105 | +240 |
| Cardinals | -2.5 +105 | U 7.5 -115 | -300 |
Nationals vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 62.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Cardinals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 33 away games (+19.05 Units / 56% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 26 games (+18.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 34 away games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Joey Meneses has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.35 Units / 51% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 34 away games (+13.85 Units / 29% ROI)
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 51 games at home (+16.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Over in 33 of his last 51 games at home (+15.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Singles Over in 34 of his last 56 games (+11.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Corey Dickerson has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 53 games at home (+10.30 Units / 9% ROI)
Cardinals vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Cardinals vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Cardinals vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brendan Donovan | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Corey Dickerson | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Nolan Gorman | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 69 of their last 123 games (+14.80 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 away games (+12.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+6.90 Units / 113% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+4.55 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+3.55 Units / 59% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cardinals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+5.65 Units / 30% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 games (+4.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 55% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+2.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 58-75 against the Run Line (-24.05 Units / -14.87% ROI).
- 47-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -9.72% ROI
- 65-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.8 Units / -1.22% ROI
- 61-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -10 Units / -6.85% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 76-57 against the Run Line (+17.15 Units / 10.35% ROI).
- 77-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 5.71% ROI
- 61-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -12 Units / -8.23% ROI
- 66-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -0.48% ROI
Cory Abbott: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cory Abbott has limited playing time.
Jordan Montgomery: Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 36% (81/226) against Jordan Montgomery on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 94th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has walked 29 of 609 batters (5%) this season — tied for 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 87th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has attempted to pick off a runner at second base 8 timesthis season — most among qualified SPs in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has walked 5 of 115 batters (4%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 98th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Nationals are just 15-78 (.161) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
The Nationals are 8-3 (.727) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are just 11-67 (.141) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Nationals are just 70-110 (.389) at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cardinals are 13-4 (.765) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 63-3 (.955) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .916.
The Cardinals are 68-19 (.782) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Cardinals are 43-9 (.827) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have just 669 strikeouts in 3,382 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.82 pitches per plate appearance against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have 245 extra-base hits out of 565 total hits (43%) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals hitters are slugging .475 against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .825 (1,193 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of .811 (2,438 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 8% of innings played since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Nationals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 85 double plays in 1,034 opportunities (8%) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Nationals have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Cardinals pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 134 double plays in 1,023 opportunities (13%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Cardinals pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Cardinals have won 59% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cardinals vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Alexander Reyes (Cardinals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Matz (Cardinals): Knee, D15
- Drew VerHagen (Cardinals): Hip, D60
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
- Yadiel Hernandez (Nationals): Calf, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
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