Nationals vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 10, 2022, 3:36 PM
  • The Cubs (44-65) are -160 favorites vs the Nationals (37-75)
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray (7-8), 4.92 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele (4-7), 3.66 ERA
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The Washington Nationals (+135) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-160) on Wednesday, August 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.

The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Nationals vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 37-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 55-54 ATS.

Nationals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -150O 7.5 -115+135
Cubs -1.5 +125U 7.5 -105-160

Nationals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 59.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Nationals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Nelson Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 42 games (+11.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 22 away games (+10.20 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 32 games (+9.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 30 away games (+9.00 Units / 19% ROI)

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 42 of his last 55 games (+17.50 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 38 of his last 60 games (+15.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 24 games (+15.40 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+14.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.85 Units / 40% ROI)

Cubs vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ian Happ 0.5 +450 0.5 -1000
Nick Madrigal 0.5 +1250 0.5
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Rafael Ortega 0.5 +450 0.5 -900
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +425 0.5 -900

Cubs vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ian Happ 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Nick Madrigal 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Nico Hoerner 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Rafael Ortega 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 -190 0.5 +135

Cubs vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ian Happ 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
Nick Madrigal 0.5 +290 0.5 -500
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Rafael Ortega 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 +170 0.5 -250

Cubs vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Steele 4.5 -175 4.5 +120
Josiah Gray 5.5 -130 5.5 -110
Justin Steele 5.5 +110 5.5 -155
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 60 of their last 99 games (+21.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 91 games (+8.35 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 19 games (+2.05 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games (+11.45 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+8.05 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 games (+3.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 47-65 against the Run Line (-26.55 Units / -19.34% ROI).

  • 37-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.9 Units / -18.83% ROI
  • 56-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.1 Units / 1.69% ROI
  • 49-56 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -9.69% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 55-54 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -5.47% ROI).

  • 44-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.4 Units / -14.91% ROI
  • 47-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.5 Units / -12.06% ROI
  • 56-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.6 Units / 3.83% ROI

Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.118 (19 Total Bases / 17 ABs) this month (1 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .414 — 0 Percentile.

Josiah Gray has walked 31 of 207 left-handed batters (15%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Josiah Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of .648 (284 Total Bases / 438 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: .480 — 0 Percentile.

Josiah Gray has walked 49 of 350 left-handed batters (14%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Justin Steele: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Steele has a strikeout rate of 50% (10 SO in 20 PAs) this month (1 games) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 21% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has pitched 13.1 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Caleb Ferguson has the longest active streak at 20.0.

Justin Steele has allowed an OPS of just .360 (152 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .639 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (181/422) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Nationals are just 17-40 (.298) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.

The Nationals are just 37-63 (.370) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Nationals are just 65-103 (.387) at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

The Nationals are just 11-68 (.139) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Cubs are just 2-50 (.038) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .114.

The Cubs are just 21-31 (.404) on the road this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .472.

The Cubs are just 17-52 (.246) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Cubs are just 17-98 (.148) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 265 double plays in 2,015 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 107 double plays in 777 opportunities (14%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Nationals hitters have an OBP of .341 (3,131 PA’s) against LHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Cubs are batting just .075 against LHP this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.

Cubs hitters have grounded into 48 double plays in 327 opportunities (15%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .125 (56 PA’s) against LHP this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .299.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .257 (56 PA’s) against LHP this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .681.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .309 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.32 (977.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.00.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.99 (460.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.18.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 7.63 (72.0 IP) this month (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.

Cubs pitchers have won only 18% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Cubs pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Erick Fedde (Nationals): Shoulder, D15
  • MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Luis García (Nationals): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.