- The Cubs (43-64) are -190 favorites vs the Nationals (36-74)
- Nationals starting pitcher: Aníbal Sánchez (0-4), 7.65 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Keegan Thompson (8-5), 3.48 ERA
- Watch the game on MARQ
The Washington Nationals (+155) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-190) on Monday, August 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Nationals vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 36-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 54-53 ATS.
Nationals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -135 | O 7.5 +100 | +155 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 -120 | -190 |
Nationals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 40 games (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 30 games (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 away games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Yadiel Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 56% ROI)
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 53 games (+15.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 58 games (+12.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 games (+12.55 Units / 53% ROI)
Cubs vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frank Schwindel | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +1350 | 0.5 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Cubs vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frank Schwindel | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nico Hoerner | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Cubs vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frank Schwindel | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Patrick Wisdom | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
Cubs vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anibal Sanchez | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +115 |
| Keegan Thompson | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -175 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 59 of their last 97 games (+21.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 89 games (+6.35 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+13.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.15 Units / 13% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 46-64 against the Run Line (-26.35 Units / -19.53% ROI).
- 36-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.75 Units / -19.9% ROI
- 54-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.08% ROI
- 49-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.65 Units / -8.03% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 54-53 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -5.55% ROI).
- 43-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.15 Units / -14.39% ROI
- 45-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.5 Units / -13.98% ROI
- 56-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.8 Units / 5.77% ROI
Aníbal Sánchez: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anibal Sanchez has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to September 26th, 2020 — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 7.
Anibal Sanchez has a strikeout rate of just 12% (2 SO in 16 PAs) with two-strikes this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (5/23) against Anibal Sanchez with two-strikes this month (1 games) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 41% — seventh Percentile.
Anibal Sanchez has a strikeout rate of just 9% (2 SO in 22 PAs) this month (1 games) — tied for 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 21% — ninth Percentile.
Keegan Thompson: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Keegan Thompson has averaged 89.6 MPH on sliders since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents batted .455 (10-for-22) against Keegan Thompson on the road — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .252 — first Percentile.
Keegan Thompson has a strike rate of just 60% (342/568) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 64% — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (12/40) against Keegan Thompson — 15th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 13th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Nationals are just 36-62 (.367) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Nationals are just 17-40 (.298) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Nationals are just 11-67 (.141) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Nationals are just 65-103 (.387) at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cubs are just 17-98 (.148) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.
The Cubs are just 42-51 (.452) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Cubs are 118-5 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Cubs are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have just 238 strikeouts in 1,279 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 105 double plays in 762 opportunities (14%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 263 double plays in 2,000 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .125 (56 PA’s) against LHP this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Cubs are batting just .075 against LHP this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .164 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .345.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .257 (56 PA’s) against LHP this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .675.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.99 (443.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
Nationals pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .308 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 8.18 (55.0 IP) this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 7% with runners in scoring position this month (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Cubs vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
- Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Christopher Morel (Cubs): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
- Steven Brault (Cubs): COVID, D10
- Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
- Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
- Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
- Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Erick Fedde (Nationals): Right Shoulder, D15
- MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
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