Nationals vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 8

min read
MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 08, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Cubs (43-64) are -190 favorites vs the Nationals (36-74)
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Aníbal Sánchez (0-4), 7.65 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Keegan Thompson (8-5), 3.48 ERA
  • Watch the game on MARQ

The Washington Nationals (+155) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-190) on Monday, August 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago.

The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Nationals vs Cubs Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 36-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 54-53 ATS.

Nationals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -135O 7.5 +100+155
Cubs -1.5 +110U 7.5 -120-190

Nationals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Monday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Nationals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 40 games (+11.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 30 games (+9.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Nelson Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 away games (+8.90 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Yadiel Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.00 Units / 56% ROI)

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 40 of his last 53 games (+15.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Nico Hoerner has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 36 games (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+14.00 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Ian Happ has hit the Total Bases Over in 36 of his last 58 games (+12.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Rafael Ortega has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 22 games (+12.55 Units / 53% ROI)

Cubs vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Frank Schwindel 0.5 +500 0.5 -1200
Ian Happ 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Nick Madrigal 0.5 +1350 0.5
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +725 0.5 -2500
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +270 0.5 -450

Cubs vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Frank Schwindel 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Ian Happ 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Nick Madrigal 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Nico Hoerner 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 -185 0.5 +125

Cubs vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Frank Schwindel 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Ian Happ 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Nick Madrigal 0.5 +225 0.5 -350
Nico Hoerner 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Patrick Wisdom 0.5 +120 0.5 -165

Cubs vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Anibal Sanchez 3.5 -160 3.5 +115
Keegan Thompson 4.5 +125 4.5 -175
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 59 of their last 97 games (+21.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 89 games (+6.35 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 17 games (+1.20 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 away games (+0.15 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+13.65 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 18 of their last 30 games (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games (+3.15 Units / 13% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 46-64 against the Run Line (-26.35 Units / -19.53% ROI).

  • 36-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.75 Units / -19.9% ROI
  • 54-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.08% ROI
  • 49-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.65 Units / -8.03% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 54-53 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -5.55% ROI).

  • 43-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.15 Units / -14.39% ROI
  • 45-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.5 Units / -13.98% ROI
  • 56-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.8 Units / 5.77% ROI

Anibal Sanchez has allowed at least one HR in each of his last five games dating back to September 26th, 2020 — Josiah Gray has the longest active streak at 7.

Anibal Sanchez has a strikeout rate of just 12% (2 SO in 16 PAs) with two-strikes this month (1 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 22% (5/23) against Anibal Sanchez with two-strikes this month (1 games) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 41% — seventh Percentile.

Anibal Sanchez has a strikeout rate of just 9% (2 SO in 22 PAs) this month (1 games) — tied for 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 21% — ninth Percentile.

Keegan Thompson: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Keegan Thompson has averaged 89.6 MPH on sliders since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — 97th Percentile.

Opponents batted .455 (10-for-22) against Keegan Thompson on the road — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .252 — first Percentile.

Keegan Thompson has a strike rate of just 60% (342/568) with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 64% — ninth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (12/40) against Keegan Thompson — 15th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — 13th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Nationals are just 36-62 (.367) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Nationals are just 17-40 (.298) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.

The Nationals are just 11-67 (.141) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Nationals are just 65-103 (.387) at home since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Cubs are just 17-98 (.148) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .268.

The Cubs are just 42-51 (.452) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Cubs are 118-5 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Cubs are just 7-41 (.146) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 30% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Nationals hitters have just 238 strikeouts in 1,279 PA’s (19%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 105 double plays in 762 opportunities (14%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 263 double plays in 2,000 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of just .125 (56 PA’s) against LHP this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

The Cubs are batting just .075 against LHP this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .227.

Cubs hitters are slugging just .164 in lefty-lefty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .345.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .257 (56 PA’s) against LHP this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .675.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.99 (443.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.

Nationals pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 9% of innings played this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .308 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 8.18 (55.0 IP) this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 7% with runners in scoring position this month (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 35% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Wade Miley (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Manuel Rodríguez (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Kyle Hendricks (Cubs): Shoulder, D15
  • Bradley Wieck (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Christopher Morel (Cubs): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Codi Heuer (Cubs): Elbow, D60
  • Steven Brault (Cubs): COVID, D10
  • Michael Hermosillo (Cubs): Quad, D60
  • Adbert Alzolay (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Alec Mills (Cubs): Back, D15
  • Ethan Roberts (Cubs): Shoulder, D60
  • Jason Heyward (Cubs): Knee, D10
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Erick Fedde (Nationals): Right Shoulder, D15
  • MacKenzie Gore (Nationals): Elbow, D15
  • Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D60
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Nationals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.