- The Diamondbacks (41-52) are -155 favorites vs the Nationals (31-64)
- Nationals starting pitcher: Aníbal Sánchez (0-1), 7.20 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner (5-9), 3.83 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Washington Nationals (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on Saturday, July 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Nationals vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 31-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 53-40 ATS.
Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -155 | O 9 -105 | +125 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -115 | -155 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s matchup with 60.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 29 away games (+18.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 55% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 54 games (+29.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 41 of his last 57 games (+16.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 39 of his last 54 games (+16.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+9.75 Units / 34% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Josh Rojas | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -150 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -175 |
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Madison Bumgarner | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
| Anibal Sanchez | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -165 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 82 games (+18.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 74 games (+6.85 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 away games (+1.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.75 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+10.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 49 games at home (+6.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 40-55 against the Run Line (-23.05 Units / -19.64% ROI).
- 31-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.6 Units / -22.76% ROI
- 48-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 0.57% ROI
- 43-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -8.9% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 53-40 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 7.43% ROI).
- 41-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -5.52% ROI
- 42-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -10.18% ROI
- 48-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 0.92% ROI
Aníbal Sánchez: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Anibal Sanchez has limited playing time.
Madison Bumgarner: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
22 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
22 of Madison Bumgarner’s 48 breaking pitch strikeouts (46%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
53 of Madison Bumgarner’s 131 breaking pitch strikeouts (41%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .241 (49-for-203) against Madison Bumgarner with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .159 — first Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Nationals are just 15-36 (.294) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Nationals are just 102-16 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Nationals are just 31-56 (.356) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Nationals are just 9-59 (.132) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Diamondbacks are just 88-25 (.779) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Diamondbacks are just 96-17 (.850) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are 18-5 (.783) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Diamondbacks are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have grounded into 42 double plays in 308 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 29% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters have just 1,388 strikeouts in 6,661 PA’s (21%) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .198 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 35% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .190 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 32% of their home games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.81 (372.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .309 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Nationals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Nationals have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
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