Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 23, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Diamondbacks (41-52) are -155 favorites vs the Nationals (31-64)
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Aníbal Sánchez (0-1), 7.20 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Madison Bumgarner (5-9), 3.83 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSAZ

The Washington Nationals (+125) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-155) on Saturday, July 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Phoenix.

The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Nationals vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Nationals are 31-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 53-40 ATS.

Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+1.5 -155O 9 -105+125
Diamondbacks -1.5 +125U 9 -115-155

Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s matchup with 60.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Nationals and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 29 away games (+18.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games (+16.90 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.10 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 55% ROI)

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 54 games (+29.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 41 of his last 57 games (+16.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 39 of his last 54 games (+16.20 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+10.10 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+9.75 Units / 34% ROI)

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +475 0.5 -1000
Christian Walker 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
David Peralta 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Josh Rojas 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 1.5 +185 1.5 -275
Christian Walker 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Daulton Varsho 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
David Peralta 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Josh Rojas 1.5 +165 1.5 -250

Diamondbacks vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alek Thomas 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Christian Walker 0.5 +105 0.5 -150
Daulton Varsho 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
David Peralta 0.5 +125 0.5 -175
Josh Rojas 0.5 +170 0.5 -250

Diamondbacks vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Madison Bumgarner 3.5 -150 3.5 +105
Anibal Sanchez 4.5 +115 4.5 -165
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 82 games (+18.00 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 74 games (+6.85 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 18 away games (+1.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 48 of their last 82 games (+11.75 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+10.00 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 49 games at home (+6.75 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+4.15 Units / 25% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 40-55 against the Run Line (-23.05 Units / -19.64% ROI).

  • 31-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.6 Units / -22.76% ROI
  • 48-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 0.57% ROI
  • 43-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -8.9% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 53-40 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 7.43% ROI).

  • 41-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -5.52% ROI
  • 42-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -10.18% ROI
  • 48-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 0.92% ROI

Anibal Sanchez has limited playing time.

Madison Bumgarner: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

22 of Madison Bumgarner’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

22 of Madison Bumgarner’s 48 breaking pitch strikeouts (46%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

53 of Madison Bumgarner’s 131 breaking pitch strikeouts (41%) have been backdoor since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .241 (49-for-203) against Madison Bumgarner with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .159 — first Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Nationals are just 15-36 (.294) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.

The Nationals are just 102-16 (.864) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Nationals are just 31-56 (.356) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

The Nationals are just 9-59 (.132) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Diamondbacks are just 88-25 (.779) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.

The Diamondbacks are just 96-17 (.850) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

The Diamondbacks are 18-5 (.783) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

The Diamondbacks are just 5-9 (.357) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Nationals hitters have grounded into 42 double plays in 308 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 29% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Nationals hitters have just 1,388 strikeouts in 6,661 PA’s (21%) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 38% at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .198 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.

The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 35% of their games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Diamondbacks are batting just .190 in righty-righty matchups since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Diamondbacks have scored first in just 32% of their home games since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.81 (372.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .309 against Nationals pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Nationals have won just 18% of games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Nationals have won just 16% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% with runners in scoring position since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
  • Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
  • Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
  • Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
  • Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
  • William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
  • Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
  • Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
  • Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
  • Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.