- The Diamondbacks (42-52) are -125 favorites vs the Nationals (31-65)
- Nationals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde (5-7), 4.90 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Corbin Martin (0-0), 4.39 ERA
- Watch the game on BSAZ
The Washington Nationals (+105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) on Sunday, July 24, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix.
The Diamondbacks are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Nationals vs Diamondbacks Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 31-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 54-40 ATS.
Nationals vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -185 | O 9.5 -110 | +105 |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +150 | U 9.5 -110 | -125 |
Nationals vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Sunday‘s matchup with 69.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Diamondbacks and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 away games (+19.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+15.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+10.80 Units / 53% ROI)
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Christian Walker has hit the Hits Under in 34 of his last 55 games (+28.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 39 of his last 55 games (+14.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Singles Under in 41 of his last 58 games (+14.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Runs Under in 27 of his last 40 games at home (+9.75 Units / 17% ROI)
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -225 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| David Peralta | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -300 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alek Thomas | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Christian Walker | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -160 |
| Daulton Varsho | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Geraldo Perdomo | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Diamondbacks vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 -105 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 50 of their last 83 games (+16.80 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 75 games (+6.85 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Diamondbacks: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 83 games (+13.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 16 games (+10.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games at home (+8.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 50 games at home (+6.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.15 Units / 28% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 40-56 against the Run Line (-24.55 Units / -20.66% ROI).
- 31-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -23.6 Units / -23.53% ROI
- 48-43 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 0.56% ROI
- 43-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.25 Units / -8.82% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 54-40 against the Run Line (+10.35 Units / 8.42% ROI).
- 42-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -4.48% ROI
- 42-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.35 Units / -10.06% ROI
- 48-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 0.91% ROI
Erick Fedde: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 31% (89/288) against Erick Fedde with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 66% (23/35) against Erick Fedde — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 39% — 0 Percentile.
Erick Fedde has an ERA of 8.17 (25.1 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 3.89 — 0 Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 53% (327/618) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 46 total IP; League Avg: 62% — first Percentile.
Corbin Martin: Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Nationals are just 31-57 (.352) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals are just 15-36 (.294) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Nationals are just 9-60 (.130) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Nationals are just 3-59 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Diamondbacks are just 97-17 (.851) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Diamondbacks are just 89-25 (.781) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .874.
The Diamondbacks are just 9-28 (.243) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are just 13-42 (.236) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have grounded into 253 double plays in 1,892 opportunities (13%) since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Nationals hitters have grounded into 42 double plays in 308 opportunities (14%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Nationals are batting just .121 on the road over the last 14 days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .192 on the road over the last 14 days (3 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting just .200 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .236.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .213 with two outs since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .233.
The Diamondbacks are batting just .181 in righty-righty matchups this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Diamondbacks have a winning percentage of just 37% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.85 (380.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Nationals have allowed 5.80 runs per game (261/45) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 72% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have walked 1 of 96 batters (1%) over the past seven days (3 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Diamondbacks pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Humberto Castellanos (Diamondbacks): Elbow, D60
- Nicholas Ahmed (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D60
- Zachary Davies (Diamondbacks): Shoulder, D15
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
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