- The Dodgers (64-32) are -275 favorites vs the Nationals (34-65)
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin (4-13), 6.01 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney (1-0), 0.58 ERA
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Washington Nationals (+225) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-275) on Wednesday, July 27, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+110).
The Nationals vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Nationals are 34-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 57-39 ATS.
Nationals vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +2.5 -130 | O 8.5 +100 | +225 |
| Dodgers | -2.5 +110 | U 8.5 -120 | -275 |
Nationals vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 57.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 33 away games (+20.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+13.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Cesar Hernandez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 19 games (+9.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nelson Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.60 Units / 53% ROI)
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Over in 47 of his last 93 games (+15.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 33 games (+13.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 32 games (+12.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 45 games (+12.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 39 games at home (+11.15 Units / 26% ROI)
Dodgers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Hanser Alberto | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Mookie Betts | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
Dodgers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Hanser Alberto | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Justin Turner | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
| Mookie Betts | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
Dodgers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Gavin Lux | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -350 |
| Hanser Alberto | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Justin Turner | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mookie Betts | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -185 |
Dodgers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +105 |
| Patrick Corbin | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -125 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Nationals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 51 of their last 86 games (+16.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 101% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 78 games (+5.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 away games (+3.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+0.50 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 93 games (+16.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 96 games (+9.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 23 games (+9.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 26 games at home (+5.25 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 54 of their last 92 games (+5.00 Units / 4% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 43-56 against the Run Line (-21.15 Units / -17.24% ROI).
- 34-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.9 Units / -17.33% ROI
- 49-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.6 Units / -0.55% ROI
- 45-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -7.76% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 57-39 against the Run Line (+15.25 Units / 13.4% ROI).
- 64-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.3 Units / -1.19% ROI
- 37-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.4 Units / -18.35% ROI
- 51-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.8 Units / 9.27% ROI
Patrick Corbin: Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .294 (50-for-170) against Patrick Corbin’s non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .216 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .315 (142-for-451) against Patrick Corbin this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — first Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has allowed an OPS of .875 (380 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .349 (73-for-209) against Patrick Corbin on the road this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.
Andrew Heaney: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .388 (19-for-49) against Andrew Heaney in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .236 — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 32% (92/289) against Andrew Heaney since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has allowed a slugging percentage of .866 (84 Total Bases / 97 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: .579 — 0 Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has thrown elevated pitches 43% of the time (357/839) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 95th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Nationals are just 15-36 (.294) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Nationals are just 34-57 (.374) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Nationals are just 103-16 (.866) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
The Nationals are just 11-60 (.155) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .294.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Dodgers are 34-15 (.694) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .523.
The Dodgers are 6-2 (.750) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 96-23 (.807) when scoring in the first inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .645.
The Dodgers are 22-75 (.227) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .125.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 29% at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Nationals hitters have just 490 strikeouts in 2,492 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals have scored first in just 28% of their home games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Nationals hitters have just 1,404 strikeouts in 6,757 PA’s (21%) against RHP since the start of last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .335 (7,028 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .782 (1,137 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .683.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .779 (2,615 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .335 (2,615 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 72% of their games at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.62 (407.0 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Nationals pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after an opposing score since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Nationals pitchers have walked 355 of 3,853 batters (9%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 241 of 3,480 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH since the start of last season (5,917 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.87 (411.1 IP) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Dodgers pitchers since the start of last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Edwin Ríos (Dodgers): Hamstring, D60
- Victor González (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Brusdar Graterol (Dodgers): Shoulder, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): ACL, D60
- Kevin Pillar (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Thomas Kahnle (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Daniel Duffy (Dodgers): Hand, D60
- Christopher Taylor (Dodgers): Foot, D10
- Joseph Ross (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Clippard (Nationals): Groin, D15
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs, D60
- Seth Romero (Nationals): Calf, D60
- William Harris (Nationals): Pectoral, D60
- Jackson Tetreault (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Evan Lee (Nationals): Flexor, D15
- Carter Kieboom (Nationals): Forearm, D60
- Reed Garrett (Nationals): Biceps, D15
- Sean Doolittle (Nationals): Elbow, D60
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