- The Dodgers are -250 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Robert Miller
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Washington Nationals (+190) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Monday, May 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Nationals vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 23-30 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 31-23 ATS.
Nationals vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 +105 | O 9 -115 | +190 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -125 | U 9 -105 | -250 |
Nationals vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 85.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+15.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+11.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+11.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 24 of his last 31 games (+16.40 Units / 40% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games (+15.80 Units / 34% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 38 games (+15.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 14 games at home (+12.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+12.15 Units / 61% ROI)
Dodgers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Miguel Rojas | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Dodgers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Miguel Rojas | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Dodgers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Miguel Rojas | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| David Peralta | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Dodgers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
| Bobby Miller | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 47 games (+15.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games (+9.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.05 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 24 away games (+5.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 42 games (+4.40 Units / 10% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 28 games (+14.90 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 28 games (+9.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 24 games at home (+7.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 33-20 against the Run Line (+11.35 Units / 17% ROI).
- 23-30 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 8.37% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.65 Units / -9.66% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.72% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 31-23 against the Run Line (+11 Units / 17.35% ROI).
- 32-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.3 Units / 0.38% ROI
- 31-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 11.75% ROI
- 22-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -19.65% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams struck out just 9% (13/148) of left-handed batters he faced in 2022 — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 51% (168/333) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has struck out just 10% (28/267) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has allowed a slugging percentage of .490 (75 Total Bases / 153 ABs) on low non-fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 0 Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bobby Miller has limited playing time.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Nationals are just 4-6 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
The Nationals are just 25-47 (.347) after a home loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Nationals are just 78-137 (.363) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Nationals are just 15-72 (.172) when allowing 2 or more home runs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Dodgers are 6-1 (.857) after a home loss this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Dodgers are just 3-8 (.273) after a win as underdogs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Dodgers are 51-19 (.729) after a home win since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .540.
The Dodgers are 7-60 (.104) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have just 507 strikeouts in 2,578 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.70 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
Nationals hitters have just 110 strikeouts in 631 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .777 (2,543 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .689.
Dodgers hitters have 197 extra-base hits out of 421 total hits (47%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers hitters have 49 extra-base hits out of 99 total hits (49%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .301 with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 48% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers have won 56% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Dodgers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Maxwell Muncy (Dodgers): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
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