Nationals vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 30

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 30, 2023, 3:31 PM
  • The Dodgers are -300 favorites vs the Nationals
  • Nationals starting pitcher: Jacob Irvin
  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Anthony Gonsolin
  • Watch the game on SportsNet LA

The Washington Nationals (+250) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-300) on Tuesday, May 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The Nationals vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Nationals are 23-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 32-23 ATS.

Nationals vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Nationals+2.5 -120O 9 -115+250
Dodgers -2.5 +100U 9 -105-300

Nationals vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 90.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+14.50 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.60 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+10.65 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 24 of his last 34 games (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 32 games (+17.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+16.35 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+14.80 Units / 31% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 16 games (+13.30 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+13.20 Units / 41% ROI)

Dodgers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Joey Meneses 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Alex Call 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
Dominic Smith 0.5 +675 0.5 -2500

Dodgers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Joey Meneses 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Alex Call 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Dominic Smith 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Dodgers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +195 0.5 -250
Joey Meneses 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Alex Call 0.5 +290 0.5 -400
Dominic Smith 0.5 +220 0.5 -300

Dodgers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Irvin 3.5 -110 3.5 -120
Tony Gonsolin 4.5 +115 4.5 -150
  • The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 48 games (+14.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games (+8.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 43 games (+5.40 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 15 of their last 25 away games (+3.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 29 games (+15.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 32 of their last 51 games (+10.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 29 games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+8.90 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.65 Units / 57% ROI)

Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 33-21 against the Run Line (+10.35 Units / 15.28% ROI).

  • 23-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.5 Units / 6.39% ROI
  • 23-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -11.25% ROI
  • 27-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +2 Units / 3.37% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 32-23 against the Run Line (+12 Units / 18.56% ROI).

  • 33-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 1.59% ROI
  • 31-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.95 Units / 9.81% ROI
  • 23-31 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.65 Units / -17.62% ROI

Jake Irvin has a strike rate of just 56% (230/414) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Jake Irvin has walked 16 of 100 batters (16%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 36% of Jake Irvin’s pitches (150/414) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 0 Percentile.

Jake Irvin has allowed three-ball counts to 32% of batters they faced (32/100 PA’s) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 20% — first Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .152 (16-for-105) against Tony Gonsolin this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 100th Percentile.

Tony Gonsolin has allowed a BABIP of .154 this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 100th Percentile.

Left-handed batters are hitting just .157 (46-for-293) against Tony Gonsolin since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .169 (95-for-563) against Tony Gonsolin since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 100th Percentile.

Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Nationals are just 4-6 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .593.

The Nationals are just 12-23 (.343) after a home win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.

The Nationals are just 1-125 (.008) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .047.

The Nationals are just 21-3 (.875) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals

The Dodgers are 7-1 (.875) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .518.

The Dodgers are 115-5 (.958) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .878.

The Dodgers are 7-60 (.104) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .047.

The Dodgers are 18-7 (.720) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .527.

The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 34% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.

Nationals hitters have missed on just 22% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Nationals are batting .260 on the road since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

Nationals hitters have drawn 95 walks in 1,376 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Dodgers hitters have 206 extra-base hits out of 439 total hits (47%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers hitters have 56 extra-base hits out of 111 total hits (51%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Dodgers hitters have 76 extra-base hits out of 176 total hits (43%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 33%.

Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

The Dodgers have won 78% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

The Dodgers have won 57% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Dodgers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Maxwell Muncy (Dodgers): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
  • Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
  • Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
  • James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Urías (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
  • Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
  • Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
  • Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
  • Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
  • Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
  • Víctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
  • Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
  • Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
  • Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.