- The Dodgers are -250 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals starting pitcher: Patrick Corbin
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Noah Syndergaard
- Watch the game on SportsNet LA
The Washington Nationals (+200) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Wednesday, May 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Nationals vs Dodgers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Nationals are 23-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 33-23 ATS.
Nationals vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 +100 | O 9.5 -115 | +200 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -120 | U 9.5 -105 | -250 |
Nationals vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 86.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Nationals and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 29 games (+15.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+13.60 Units / 53% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+11.85 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+11.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+10.40 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 26 of his last 33 games (+18.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 29 of his last 40 games (+17.35 Units / 38% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+16.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+14.35 Units / 66% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games at home (+14.20 Units / 41% ROI)
Dodgers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Dodgers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Will Smith | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 +100 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
Dodgers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Max Muncy | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Will Smith | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Miguel Vargas | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Trayce Thompson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Dodgers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Patrick Corbin | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
| Noah Syndergaard | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 37 games (+7.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 away games (+7.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 26 away games (+4.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 44 games (+4.40 Units / 9% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 30 games (+16.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+9.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+9.65 Units / 56% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 33-22 against the Run Line (+9.35 Units / 13.6% ROI).
- 23-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.5 Units / 4.48% ROI
- 24-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.7 Units / -9.38% ROI
- 27-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +1 Units / 1.66% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 33-23 against the Run Line (+13 Units / 19.67% ROI).
- 34-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.3 Units / 2.71% ROI
- 32-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.95 Units / 11.24% ROI
- 23-32 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -18.96% ROI
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Corbin has a strikeout rate of just 32% (40 SO in 126 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Patrick Corbin has struck out just 14% (33/232) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (49/82) against Patrick Corbin in two-strike counts this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .290 (75-for-259) against Patrick Corbin this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — seventh Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 45 stolen bases since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has allowed 15 stolen bases this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .588 (10-for-17) against Noah Syndergaard in close and late situations since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: .241 — first Percentile.
Noah Syndergaard has had second base stolen on him 37 times since last season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Nationals are just 4-6 (.400) after a win as favorites since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .592.
The Nationals are just 12-23 (.343) after a home win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
The Nationals are just 51-86 (.372) after a loss since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
The Nationals are just 78-139 (.359) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Dodgers are 7-1 (.875) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Dodgers are 7-60 (.104) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
The Dodgers are 116-5 (.959) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .878.
The Dodgers are 49-24 (.671) after a loss since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 515 strikeouts in 2,625 PA’s (20%) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have just 118 strikeouts in 678 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 39% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters are averaging just 3.73 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .449 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Dodgers hitters have drawn 625 walks in 6,099 PA’s (10%) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Dodgers hitters have 210 extra-base hits out of 452 total hits (47%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers have won 78% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Dodgers have won 49% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Dodgers have won 57% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Dodgers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Gavin Lux (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Michael Grove (Dodgers): Groin, D15
- Daniel Hudson (Dodgers): Knee, D60
- James Nelson (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Blake Treinen (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Julio UrÃas (Dodgers): Hamstring, D15
- Dustin May (Dodgers): Forearm, D60
- Ryan Pepiot (Dodgers): Oblique, D60
- Walker Buehler (Dodgers): Elbow, D60
- Alexander Reyes (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Cyr (Dodgers): Shoulder, D60
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
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